8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 31, 2018

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company  ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ☐

 

 

 


Section 2 - Financial Information

 

Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the fourth quarter of 2017 and full year ended December 31, 2017 as well and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on January 31, 2018. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act

Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (a) Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

 

  (b) Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

 

  (c) Shell company transactions. Not applicable

 

  (d) Exhibits

 

Exhibit

No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated January 31, 2018, reporting American Financial Group Inc. fourth quarter and full year results for the period ended December 31, 2017
99.2    Investor Supplement – Fourth Quarter 2017

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Date: February 1, 2018

     
   

By:

 

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

     

Karl J. Grafe

     

Vice President

 

3

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results

 

    Net earnings of $1.84 per share in the fourth quarter and $5.28 per share for the full year
    Fourth quarter core net operating earnings per share of $2.20; up 11% from 2016
    Core net operating earnings per share of $6.55 for the full year; up 9% from 2016
    Full year 2017 ROE of 10.3%; 2017 core operating ROE of 12.7%
    Full year 2018 core net operating earnings guidance between $7.90—$8.40 per share

CINCINNATI – January 31, 2018 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2017 fourth quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $166 million ($1.84 per share) compared to $385 million ($4.33 per share) for the 2016 fourth quarter. Results for the fourth quarter of 2017 include an $83 million ($0.92 per share) write-down of the company’s net deferred tax asset due to the impact of a lower U.S. corporate tax rate and a previously announced loss on early retirement of debt of $26 million ($0.29 per share). These items were partially offset by $74 million ($0.81 per share) in non-core income from the reinsurance to close transaction involving Neon’s 2015 and prior years of account and tax benefits from restructuring Neon, as well as net realized gains of $4 million ($0.04 per share). Comparatively, net earnings in the 2016 fourth quarter included $209 million ($2.35 per share) in non-core items. Details may be found in the accompanying table. Net earnings attributable to shareholders for the year were $5.28 per share, compared to $7.33 per share in 2016. Book value per share was $60.38 per share at December 31, 2017. AFG paid cash dividends of $2.35 per share during the quarter, which included a $2.00 per share special dividend. Return on equity was 10.3% and 14.8% for 2017 and 2016, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $197 million ($2.20 per share) for the 2017 fourth quarter, compared to $176 million ($1.98 per share) in the 2016 fourth quarter. The $2.20 per share established an all-time high for AFG’s quarterly core EPS. The improved results were attributable to significantly higher underwriting profit in our Property and Casualty (“P&C”) Insurance Segment, which was partially offset by the impact of fair value accounting in our Annuity Segment. Included within AFG’s core P&C Insurance Segment results was a $0.28 per share impact of the Neon reinsurance to close transaction. Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains related to fixed maturities, was $53.51 per share at December 31, 2017. For the twelve months ended December 31, 2017, AFG’s growth in adjusted book value per share plus dividends was 9.8%. Core net operating earnings for the fourth quarters of 2017 and 2016 generated annualized returns on equity of 17.2% and 15.7%, respectively. Core operating return on equity was 12.7% and 12.2% for 2017 and 2016, respectively.

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, rating agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFG’s management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFG’s management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.

 

Page 1


In millions, except per share amounts    Three months ended
December 31,
     Twelve months ended
December 31,
 
     2017      2016      2017      2016  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

           

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 283      $ 266      $ 865      $ 840  

Pretax non-core items:

           

Realized gains on securities

     6        51        5        19  

Realized gain on sale of subsidiaries

     —          —          —          2  

Gain on sale of apartment property

     —          —          —          32  

Special A&E charges

Neon exited lines charge

Loss on early retirement of debt

    

—  

18

(40

 

 

    

—  

—  

—  

 

 

 

    

(113

18

(51


 

    

(41

(65

—  


 

  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     267        317        724        787  

Provision (credit) for income taxes:

           

Core operating earnings

     86        88        275        290  

Non-core items:

           

Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger

     —          (66      —          (66

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     (56      (111      (56      (111

Tax expense related to change in U.S. corporate tax rate

     83        —          83        —    

Other

     (12      18        (55      6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total provision (credit) for income taxes

     101        (71      247        119  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests

     166        388        477        668  

Less net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests:

           

Core operating earnings

     —          2        2        16  

Non-core items

     —          1        —          3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —          3        2        19  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 166      $ 385      $ 475      $ 649  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 197      $ 176      $ 588      $ 534  

Non-core items

     (31      209        (113      115  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 166      $ 385      $ 475      $ 649  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Components of Earnings Per Share:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 2.20      $ 1.98      $ 6.55      $ 6.03  

Non-core Items:

           

Realized gains on securities

     0.04        0.36        0.03        0.16  

Realized gain on sale of subsidiaries

     —          —          —          0.01  

Gain on sale of apartment property

     —          —          —          0.17  

Special A&E charges

     —          —          (0.82      (0.30

Neon exited lines charge

     0.19        —          0.19        (0.73

Loss on early retirement of debt

Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

Tax expense related to change in U.S. corporate tax rate

    

(0.29

—  

0.62

(0.92


 

 

    

—  

0.74

1.25

—  

 

 

 

 

    

(0.37

—  

0.62

(0.92


 

 

    

—  

0.74

1.25

—  

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.84      $ 4.33      $ 5.28      $ 7.33  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Footnote (a) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, commented: “We are pleased to report fourth quarter and full year core net operating earnings that were an all-time high for AFG, with strong results produced by both the P&C and Annuity segments of our business. Our diversified portfolio of specialty P&C and annuity businesses has enabled us to successfully navigate a challenging year for the industry overall.

“AFG had approximately $885 million of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $300 million) at December 31, 2017. Our excess capital will be deployed into AFG’s core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. In addition, share repurchases, particularly when executed at attractive valuations, and returning capital to shareholders through dividends are an important and effective component of our capital management strategy. Over the past year, we increased our quarterly dividend by 12% and paid special dividends of $3.50 per share.

 

Page 2


“With the benefit of tax reform, we expect core net operating earnings in 2018 to be between $7.90 and $8.40 per share. Our core earnings per share guidance assumes an effective tax rate of approximately 20%, and excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, as well as other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.”

Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

Core operating earnings in AFG’s P&C insurance operations were $233 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to $180 million in the prior year period, an increase of $53 million, or 29%. Significantly higher P&C underwriting profit and lower other expenses were the drivers of the improved results.

The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated underwriting profit of $156 million for the 2017 fourth quarter compared to $110 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, due primarily to higher underwriting profitability in our Specialty Casualty and Property and Transportation Groups. The fourth quarter 2017 combined ratio of 87.3% includes 4.1 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 0.9 points of unfavorable prior year reserve development in the comparable 2016 period.

Fourth quarter results in 2017 include 0.6 points in catastrophe losses, primarily the result of wildfires in California, compared to 1.1 points in the comparable 2016 period. The fourth quarter pretax loss from California wildfires, net of reinsurance and inclusive of reinstatement premiums, was $33 million. Losses related to third quarter catastrophes, specifically Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria, and two earthquakes in Mexico, developed favorably by $25 million. Total pretax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance and inclusive of reinstatement premiums were $12 million during the fourth quarter.

Gross and net written premiums were up 9% and 7%, respectively, in the 2017 fourth quarter compared to the same period in 2016, with each of our Specialty P&C groups reporting growth during the quarter. Average renewal pricing across our entire P&C Group was up 1% for the quarter, and up 1% overall for the year. Further details of AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.

The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $84 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to $75 million in the comparable prior year period, due primarily to higher underwriting profit in our transportation businesses. These results were partially offset by lower year-over-year underwriting profits in our agricultural operations. Our crop insurance operations reported very strong profitability during the 2017 fourth quarter, albeit at lower levels of profitability than in the prior year fourth quarter. Catastrophe losses for this group had a favorable impact of $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to a $6 million loss in the 2016 fourth quarter.

Fourth quarter 2017 gross and net written premiums in this group were both 8% higher, respectively, than the comparable prior year period. The increase was primarily attributed to higher crop insurance premiums, as well as higher premiums in our property & inland marine and Singapore operations. This growth was partially offset by lower premiums resulting from an exit from the customs bond business, which was part of our ocean marine operations. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 3% on average in both the 2017 fourth quarter and full year.

 

Page 3


The Specialty Casualty Group reported an underwriting profit of $58 million in the 2017 fourth quarter compared to $13 million in the comparable 2016 period. The higher underwriting profit was primarily attributed to favorable reserve development within Neon, most significantly in connection with the 2015 and prior years reinsurance to close (RITC) transaction attributed to ongoing lines of business, and higher underwriting profit in our workers’ compensation and excess and surplus lines businesses. These improved results were partially offset by lower underwriting profits in our targeted markets operations. Catastrophe losses for this group were $18 million in the fourth quarter of 2017 and $4 million in the comparable 2016 period.

Gross and net written premiums increased 8% and 9%, respectively, for the fourth quarter of 2017 when compared to the same prior year period. Growth within Neon, resulting from the growth of its portfolio in targeted classes of business, higher premiums in our workers’ compensation businesses, primarily the result of rate increases in Florida, and growth in our excess and surplus lines businesses all contributed to the year-over-year growth. Renewal pricing for this group increased by 1% in the fourth quarter, and was flat overall for the year.

The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $19 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to $20 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, with all businesses in this group achieving excellent underwriting margins. Catastrophe losses for this group had a favorable impact of $5 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to a $2 million loss in the 2016 fourth quarter.

Gross and net written premiums increased by 16% and 1%, respectively, in the 2017 fourth quarter when compared to the same 2016 period. Higher premiums in our lending and leasing businesses, which were largely ceded, were the primary driver of the increase. Renewal pricing in this group was flat during the fourth quarter and decreased approximately 2% overall for the full year of 2017.

Carl Lindner III stated: “Our Specialty P&C insurance operations produced very strong core operating earnings and healthy growth during the fourth quarter. Our crop insurance operations exceeded our expectations, we entered into a reinsurance to close transaction agreement for Neon’s 2008 to 2015 years of account, which resulted in a significant reserve release, and catastrophe losses in the quarter were below expectations.”

Mr. Lindner continued, “We are forecasting an overall calendar year combined ratio in the 92% to 94% range, and we are targeting growth in net written premiums in the range of 3% to 7%.”

Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Annuity Segment

As shown in the following table, AFG’s Annuity Segment reported $97 million in pretax earnings in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to $132 million in the fourth quarter of 2016. Earnings before the impact of fair value accounting for fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) were $108 million, up 5% from the prior year period.

Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

Dollars in millions    Three months ended
December 31,
     Pct.
Change
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2017     2016            2017     2016        

Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs

   $ 108     $ 103        5   $ 413     $ 395       5

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (11     29        nm       (33     (27     nm  
  

 

 

   

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Pretax annuity earnings

   $ 97     $ 132        (27 %)    $ 380     $ 368       3
  

 

 

   

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

Page 4


Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – AFG’s Annuity Segment reported quarterly earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs of $108 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, a 5% increase over the $103 million reported in the comparable prior year period, and an all-time high for the Annuity Segment. Quarterly average annuity investments and reserves grew approximately 10% and 12%, respectively, year-over-year; however, the benefit of this growth was partially offset by the runoff of higher yielding investments. Both quarterly periods included the positive impact from a strong stock market and higher than expected income from certain investments required to be marked to market though earnings and unplanned investment income resulting from early redemptions and other unusual events.

In the fourth quarters of 2017 and 2016, AFG conducted detailed reviews (“unlocking”) of the major actuarial assumptions underlying its annuity operations. The review resulted in an unlocking charge of $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to a positive unlocking of $1 million in the fourth quarter of 2016. Unlocking amounts are included in “Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs” in the table above.

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – Under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), a portion of the reserves for FIAs ($2.5 billion and $1.8 billion at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016, respectively) is considered to be an embedded derivative and is recorded at fair value based on the estimated present value of certain expected future cash flows.

The impact of fair value accounting for FIAs includes annuity interest accreted on this FIA embedded derivative reserve; interest accreted totaled $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2017 and $1 million in the fourth quarter of 2016. In addition to this interest, Annuity Segment earnings are also impacted by other changes in the fair value of the embedded derivative. Assumptions used in calculating this fair value include projected interest rates, option costs, surrenders, withdrawals and mortality. Variances from these assumptions, as well as changes in the stock market, will generally result in a change in fair value. Amounts shown in the table above under “Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs” include the impact of these variances. Many of these adjustments are not economic in nature for the current reporting period, but rather impact the timing of reported results.

In the fourth quarter of 2017, the benefit of a higher stock market was more than offset by lower than expected interest rates, resulting in a net $11 million unfavorable impact to annuity core operating earnings. By comparison, in the fourth quarter of 2016, a significant increase in interest rates, as well as an increase in the stock market, resulted in a large favorable impact on annuity earnings.

Annuity Premiums – AFG’s Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $909 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to $1.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2016. This decrease resulted from AFG’s adherence to pricing discipline in a relatively low interest rate environment.

Craig Lindner stated, “AFG’s Annuity Segment had another record year, achieving pretax earnings of $380 million. This record result demonstrates our commitment to achieving appropriate returns on new business and our ability to deliver consumer-friendly products that the market finds attractive. Although our annuity sales were down 2% in 2017, I am very satisfied with this result given that industry sales of fixed and indexed annuities are estimated to be down nearly 10% in 2017. We believe we continue to be well-positioned for the future.”

2018 Annuity Outlook – AFG expects that 2018 annuity sales will be up 2% to 6% compared to the $4.3 billion sold in 2017, resulting in year-over-year average asset and reserve growth of 8% to 10%; the favorable earnings impact of this growth will be partially offset by the expected runoff of higher yielding investments. As a result, AFG anticipates that its pretax annuity earnings will be in the range of $385 to $425 million, compared to $380 million in 2017.

 

Page 5


The 2018 guidance assumes (i) interest rates and the stock market rise moderately for the remainder of 2018, (ii) more normalized income from certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings, and (iii) lower impact in 2018 from unusual investment income items such as prepayment of fixed income securities. Fluctuations in the returns on these investments, or large changes in interest rates and/or the stock market, as compared to our expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segment’s results.

More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Investments

AFG recorded fourth quarter 2017 net realized gains of $4 million after tax and after DAC, compared to net realized gains of $32 million in the comparable prior year period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $619 million after tax and after DAC at December 31, 2017, an increase of $313 million from year-end 2016, including a $110 million favorable impact from the reduction in the U.S. corporate tax rate. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 90% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 98% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1 or 2, its highest two categories.

For the twelve months ended December 31, 2017, P&C net investment income was approximately 3% higher than the comparable 2016 period.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Reduction in the U.S. Corporate Tax Rate and Write-down of Deferred Tax Asset

In the fourth quarter of 2017, AFG recorded a one-time non-core charge of $83 million to write down its deferred tax asset. This write-down was the result of the reduction in the U.S. corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 21 percent effective Jan. 1, 2018. Although the new U.S. tax law reduces the company’s net deferred tax asset position, the company expects a net favorable future economic impact from the lower corporate income tax rate.

Tax Benefit Related to Neon Restructuring

On December 29, 2017, AFG entered into agreements under which certain Neon executives acquired an indirect noncontrolling interest in Neon. In connection with the 2016 restructuring of our Neon operations, AFG reported a loss on the liquidation for U.S. tax purposes of the foreign subsidiary that is the parent of the Neon Lloyd’s operations. Part of the loss associated with the restructuring transaction was required to be deferred under the U.S. tax laws. The sale of the noncontrolling interest in Neon resulted in the recognition of the deferred loss for U.S. tax purposes. As a result of the restructuring, AFG recognized a non-core tax benefit of $56 million ($0.62 per share) in the fourth quarter of 2017.

Loss on Early Retirement of Debt

In November 2017, AFG announced the early redemption of its $350 million of 9-7/8% Senior Notes. The redemption resulted in after-tax non-core expenses in the fourth quarter of 2017 of approximately $26 million ($0.29 per share) related to a make whole premium and other related expenses.

 

Page 6


Neon Exited Lines Charge (Reinsurance to Close (RITC) of Neon’s 2015 Year of Account)

On December 21, 2017, Neon announced that it had entered into a reinsurance to close transaction agreement for its 2008 to 2015 years of account with StarStone Underwriting Limited, a subsidiary of Enstar Group Limited, effective December 31, 2017. As a result of this transaction, AFG recognized after-tax income of approximately $42 million. A component of this gain ($18 million or $0.19 per share) was classified as non-core as it relates to the Neon Exited Lines, with the remainder reflected as favorable development within the Specialty Casualty Group, and included in AFG’s core earnings.

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets of approximately $60 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and mortality; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFG’s operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy (including those associated with the United Kingdom’s expected withdrawal from the European Union, or “Brexit”) relating to AFG’s international operations; and other factors identified in AFG’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

Page 7


The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The company will hold a conference call to discuss 2017 fourth quarter and full year results at 11:30 am (ET) tomorrow, Thursday, February 1, 2018. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 8583267. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 pm (ET) on February 8, 2018. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 8583267.

The conference and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFG’s website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions under Webcasts and Presentations.

The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until February 8, 2018 at 11:59 pm (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.

Contact:

Diane P. Weidner, IRC

Asst. Vice President - Investor Relations

513-369-5713

Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG18-04

 

Page 8


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
 
     2017      2016     2017      2016  

Revenues

          

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 1,225      $ 1,144     $ 4,579      $ 4,328  

Life, accident & health net earned premiums

     5        6       22        24  

Net investment income

     465        429       1,831        1,696  

Realized gains on:

          

Securities

     6        51       5        19  

Subsidiaries

     —          —         —          2  

Income of managed investment entities:

          

Investment income

     55        49       210        190  

Gain on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     —          6       12        15  

Other income

     52        52       206        224  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total revenues

     1,808        1,737       6,865        6,498  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

          

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     1,061        1,040       4,362        4,111  

Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses

     279        222       1,091        1,019  

Interest charges on borrowed money

     20        21       85        77  

Expenses of managed investment entities

     44        42       181        151  

Other expenses

     137        95       422        353  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,541        1,420       6,141        5,711  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     267        317       724        787  

Provision (credit) for income taxes(b)

     101        (71     247        119  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

     166        388       477        668  

Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —          3       2        19  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 166      $ 385     $ 475      $ 649  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per Common Share

   $ 1.84      $ 4.33     $ 5.28      $ 7.33  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     90.1        88.8       89.8        88.5  

 

Selected Balance Sheet Data:    December 31,
2017
     December 31,
2016
 

Total cash and investments

   $ 46,048      $ 41,433  

Long-term debt

   $ 1,301      $ 1,283  

Shareholders’ equity(c)

   $ 5,330      $ 4,916  

Shareholders’ equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(c)

   $ 4,724      $ 4,617  

Book value per share

   $ 60.38      $ 56.55  

Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)

   $ 53.51      $ 53.11  

Common Shares Outstanding

     88.3        86.9  

Footnotes (b) and (c) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 9


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
    Pct.
Change
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2017     2016           2017     2016        

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,571     $ 1,441       9   $ 6,502     $ 5,981       9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,161     $ 1,083       7   $ 4,751     $ 4,386       8
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

            

Loss & LAE ratio

     59.8     63.7       62.9     61.7  

Underwriting expense ratio

     27.5     26.7       30.2     30.6  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Specialty Combined Ratio

     87.3     90.4       93.1     92.3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio – P&C Segment

     86.0     90.4       94.7     94.5  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(d)

            

Gross Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 626     $ 577       8   $ 2,688     $ 2,504       7

Specialty Casualty

     737       684       8     3,087       2,792       11

Specialty Financial

     208       180       16     727       685       6
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,571     $ 1,441       9   $ 6,502     $ 5,981       9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 424     $ 394       8   $ 1,765     $ 1,672       6

Specialty Casualty

     555       510       9     2,280       2,036       12

Specialty Financial

     156       154       1     596       572       4

Other

     26       25       4     110       106       4
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,161     $ 1,083       7   $ 4,751     $ 4,386       8
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

            

Property & Transportation

     82.6     83.9       91.0     90.0  

Specialty Casualty

     90.0     97.4       95.2     96.1  

Specialty Financial

     86.2     86.0       89.4     84.9  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     87.3     90.4       93.1     92.3  

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
     Twelve months ended
December 31,
 
     2017      2016      2017      2016  

Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse:

           

Property & Transportation

   $ (4    $ 13      $ (40    $ (21

Specialty Casualty

     (52      3        (86      (13

Specialty Financial

     1        (6      (21      (23

Other

     6        —          8        (4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Specialty Group Excluding A&E and Neon Charge

     (49      10        (139      (61

Special A&E Reserve Charge – P&C Run-off

     —          —          89        36  

Neon Exited Lines Charge and Other

     (17      —          (14      57  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Reserve Development

   $ (66    $ 10      $ (64    $ 32  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

           

Property & Transportation

     (0.8      3.0        (2.3      (1.2

Specialty Casualty

     (9.2      0.5        (4.0      (0.7

Specialty Financial

     0.8        (4.5      (3.6      (4.0

Aggregate Specialty Group

Total P&C Segment

    

(4.1

(5.4


    

0.9

0.9

 

 

    

(3.0

(1.4


    

(1.4

0.7


 

Footnote (d) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 10


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
     Pct.
Change
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2017      2016            2017      2016         

Annuity Premiums:

                

Financial Institutions

   $ 427      $ 626        (32 %)    $ 2,333      $ 2,418        (4 %) 

Retail

     435        437        —         1,806        1,796        1

Education Market

     41        40        3     174        184        (5 %) 

Variable Annuities

     6        8        (25 %)      28        37        (24 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total Annuity Premiums

   $ 909      $ 1,111        (18 %)    $ 4,341      $ 4,435        (2 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
     Pct.
Change
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2017      2016            2017      2016         

Revenues:

                

Net investment income

   $ 376      $ 346        9   $ 1,458      $ 1,356        8

Other income

     24        27        (11 %)      103        103        —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total revenues

     400        373        7     1,561        1,459        7

Costs and Expenses:

                

Annuity benefits

     257        160        61     892        800        12

Acquisition expenses

     15        54        (72 %)      168        181        (7 %) 

Other expenses

     31        27        15     121        110        10
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total costs and expenses

     303        241        26     1,181        1,091        8
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 97      $ 132        (27 %)    $ 380      $ 368        3
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Supplemental Annuity Information

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
    Pct.
Change
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2017     2016           2017     2016        

Earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs

   $ 108     $ 103       5   $ 413     $ 395       5

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (11     29       nm       (33     (27     nm  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Earnings before income taxes

   $ 97     $ 132       (27 %)    $ 380     $ 368       3
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Average fixed annuity reserves*

   $ 32,680     $ 29,250       12   $ 31,526     $ 28,146       12

Net interest spread*

     2.62     2.70       2.62     2.73  

Net spread earned before fair value accounting for FIAs*

     1.34     1.42       1.33     1.39  

Net spread earned after impact of fair value accounting for FIAs*

     1.21     1.82       1.23     1.29  

 

* Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

 

Page 11


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a) Components of core net operating earnings (in millions):

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
     Twelve months ended
December 31,
 
     2017      2016      2017      2016  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

           

P&C insurance segment

   $ 233      $ 180      $ 660      $ 630  

Annuity segment, before fair value accounting for FIAs

     108        103        413        395  

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (11      29        (33      (27

Run-off long-term care and life segment

     2        2        6        2  

Interest & other corporate expense

     (49      (50      (183      (176
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     283        264        863        824  

Related income taxes

     86        88        275        290  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 197      $ 176      $ 588      $ 534  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

b) Excluding the impact of the Neon Exited Lines Charge that was reported in the second quarter of 2016, the Tax Benefit related to the National Interstate Merger and the Tax Benefit Related to the Neon Restructuring reported in the fourth quarter of 2016, AFG’s effective tax rate for the fourth quarter and twelve months ended December 31, 2016 was 33% and 35%, respectively. AFG maintains a full valuation allowance against the deferred tax benefits associated with losses related to AFG’s specialist Lloyd’s insurance business, Neon.

 

c) Shareholders’ Equity at December 31, 2017 includes $619 million ($7.01 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $13 million ($0.14 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. Shareholders’ Equity at December 31, 2016 includes $306 million ($3.52 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $7 million ($0.08 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges.

 

d) Supplemental Notes:

 

    Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages.

 

    Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

    Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including equipment leasing and collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

    Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 12

EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO        

American Financial Group, Inc.

 

Investor Supplement - Fourth Quarter 2017

        January 31, 2018
        American Financial Group, Inc.
        Corporate Headquarters
        Great American Insurance Group Tower
        301 E Fourth Street
        Cincinnati, OH 45202
        513 579 6739


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Fourth Quarter 2017

   LOGO

 

Section

   Page  

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Fourth Quarter 2017

     2  

Financial Highlights

     3  

Summary of Earnings

     4  

Earnings Per Share Summary

     5  

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     6  

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     7  

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     8  

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     9  

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     10  

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     11  

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

     12  

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

     13  

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

     14  

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

     15  

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

     16  

Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate Analysis

     17  

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

     18  

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

     19  

Capitalization

     20  

Additional Supplemental Information

     21  

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments

     22  

Net Investment Income

     23  

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

     24  

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

     25  

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

     26  

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

     27  

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

     28  

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

     29  

Appendix

  

A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

     30  

 

Page 2


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Highlights

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Highlights

              

Net earnings

   $ 166     $ 11     $ 145     $ 153     $ 385     $ 475     $ 649  

Core net operating earnings

     197       95       145       151       176       588       534  

Total assets

     60,658       60,163       58,618       57,464       55,072       60,658       55,072  

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

     4,724       4,852       4,837       4,815       4,617       4,724       4,617  

Property and Casualty net written premiums

     1,161       1,433       1,130       1,027       1,083       4,751       4,386  

Annuity statutory premiums

     909       876       1,266       1,290       1,111       4,341       4,435  

Per share data

              

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 1.84     $ 0.13     $ 1.61     $ 1.72     $ 4.33     $ 5.28     $ 7.33  

Core net operating earnings per share

     2.20       1.06       1.61       1.69       1.98       6.55       6.03  

Adjusted book value per share (a)

     53.51       55.08       54.97       54.98       53.11       53.51       53.11  

Cash dividends per common share

     2.3500       0.3125       1.8125       0.3125       1.3125       4.7875       2.1525  

Financial ratios

              

Annualized return on equity (b)

     14.4     1.0     12.3     13.3     34.4     10.3     14.8

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

     17.2     8.1     12.3     13.1     15.7     12.7     12.2

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

              

Loss & LAE ratio

     59.8     71.4     59.5     59.5     63.7     62.9     61.7

Underwriting expense ratio

     27.5     27.9     33.7     32.7     26.7     30.2     30.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

     87.3     99.3     93.2     92.2     90.4     93.1     92.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread on fixed annuities:

              

Net interest spread

     2.62     2.69     2.61     2.58     2.70     2.62     2.73

Net spread earned:

              

Before impact of fair value accounting

     1.34     1.36     1.32     1.31     1.42     1.33     1.39

Impact of fair value accounting (c)

     (0.13 %)      (0.05 %)      (0.21 %)      (0.03 %)      0.40     (0.10 %)      (0.10 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After impact of fair value accounting

     1.21     1.31     1.11     1.28     1.82     1.23     1.29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 19.
(b) Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income.
(c) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

Page 3


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Summary of Earnings

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Property and Casualty Insurance

              

Underwriting profit

   $ 155     $ 8     $ 72     $ 78     $ 110     $ 313     $ 337  

Net investment income

     86       94       96       86       85       362       350  

Other income (expense)

     (8     (7     (5     5       (15     (15     (57
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

     233       95       163       169       180       660       630  

Annuity earnings

     97       102       85       96       132       380       368  

Run-off Long-Term Care and Life earnings

     2       2       2       —         2       6       2  

Interest expense of parent holding companies

     (20     (21     (23     (21     (21     (85     (77

Other expense

     (29     (20     (23     (26     (29     (98     (99
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings

     283       158       204       218       264       863       824  

Income tax expense

     86       63       59       67       88       275       290  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

     197       95       145       151       176       588       534  

Non-core items, net of tax:

              

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     4       (8     5       2       32       3       13  

Gain on sale of subsidiaries

     —         —         —         —         —         —         1  

Gain on sale of apartment property

     —         —         —         —         —         —         15  

Special A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —         (58     —         —         —         (58     (23

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —         (16     —         —         —         (16     (3

Neon exited lines charge

     18       —         —         —         —         18       (65

Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger

     —         —         —         —         66       —         66  

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     56       —         —         —         111       56       111  

Tax expense related to change in U.S. corporate tax rate

     (83     —         —         —         —         (83     —    

Loss on retirement of debt

     (26     (2     (5     —         —         (33     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 166     $ 11     $ 145     $ 153     $ 385     $ 475     $ 649  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 4


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Earnings Per Share Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17      12/31/16      12/31/17     12/31/16  

Core net operating earnings

   $ 197     $ 95     $ 145     $ 151      $ 176      $ 588     $ 534  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 166     $ 11     $ 145     $ 153      $ 385      $ 475     $ 649  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     90.109       89.984       89.799       89.342        88.774        89.812       88.530  

Diluted earnings per share:

                

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 2.20     $ 1.06     $ 1.61     $ 1.69      $ 1.98      $ 6.55     $ 6.03  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     0.04       (0.08     0.05       0.03        0.36        0.03       0.16  

Gain on sale of subsidiaries

     —         —         —         —          —          —         0.01  

Gain on sale of apartment property

     —         —         —         —          —          —         0.17  

Special A&E charges:

                

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —         (0.64     —         —          —          (0.64     (0.26

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —         (0.18     —         —          —          (0.18     (0.04

Neon exited lines charge

     0.19       —         —         —          —          0.19       (0.73

Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger

     —         —         —         —          0.74        —         0.74  

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     0.62       —         —         —          1.25        0.62       1.25  

Tax expense related to change in U.S. corporate tax rate

     (0.92     —         —         —          —          (0.92     —    

Loss on retirement of debt

     (0.29     (0.03     (0.05     —          —          (0.37     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 1.84     $ 0.13     $ 1.61     $ 1.72      $ 4.33      $ 5.28     $ 7.33  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 5


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Property and Transportation

   $ 84     $ 6     $ 21     $ 43     $ 75     $ 154     $ 166  

Specialty Casualty

     58       2       29       15       13       104       78  

Specialty Financial

     19       (3     23       22       20       61       84  

Other Specialty

     (5     4       —         (1     2       (2     9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Specialty

     156       9       73       79       110       317       337  

Other core charges, included in loss and LAE

     1       1       1       1       —         4       —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Core

     155       8       72       78       110       313       337  

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

     —         (89     —         —         —         (89     (36

Neon exited lines charge, included in loss and LAE

     18       —         —         —         —         18       (57

Neon exited lines charge, included in underwriting expenses

     —         —         —         —         —         —         (8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 173     $ (81   $ 72     $ 78     $ 110     $ 242     $ 236  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ 4     $ 6     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 10     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     8       107       18       7       12       140       55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 12     $ 113     $ 18     $ 7     $ 12     $ 150     $ 55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (66   $ 52     $ (22   $ (28   $ 10     $ (64   $ 32  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Property and Transportation

     82.6     98.9     94.2     87.3     83.9     91.0     90.0

Specialty Casualty

     90.0     99.5     94.7     97.0     97.4     95.2     96.1

Specialty Financial

     86.2     102.2     84.4     85.0     86.0     89.4     84.9

Other Specialty

     123.0     85.1     98.3     105.8     94.9     102.7     91.4

Combined ratio - Specialty

     87.3     99.3     93.2     92.2     90.4     93.1     92.3

Other core charges

     0.1     0.1     0.2     0.1     0.0     0.1     (0.1 %) 

Neon exited lines charge, loss and LAE

     (1.4 %)      0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     (0.4 %)      1.3

Neon exited lines charge, underwriting expenses

     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.2

Special A&E charges

     0.0     7.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     1.9     0.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     86.0     106.4     93.4     92.3     90.4     94.7     94.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     90.8     93.8     93.7     94.3     88.4     93.1     92.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     63.3     65.9     60.0     61.6     61.7     62.9     61.8

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (5.4 %)      4.2     (2.0 %)      (2.7 %)      0.9     (1.4 %)      0.7

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.6     8.4     1.7     0.7     1.1     3.0     1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     58.5     78.5     59.7     59.6     63.7     64.5     63.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 6


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,571     $ 2,104     $ 1,503     $ 1,324     $ 1,441     $ 6,502     $ 5,981  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (410     (671     (373     (297     (358     (1,751     (1,595
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     1,161       1,433       1,130       1,027       1,083       4,751       4,386  

Change in unearned premiums

     64       (166     (65     (5     61       (172     (58
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     1,225       1,267       1,065       1,022       1,144       4,579       4,328  

Loss and LAE

     733       905       634       608       729       2,880       2,669  

Underwriting expense

     336       353       358       335       305       1,382       1,322  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 156     $ 9     $ 73     $ 79     $ 110     $ 317     $ 337  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ 4     $ 6     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 10     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     8       107       18       7       12       140       55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 12     $ 113     $ 18     $ 7     $ 12     $ 150     $ 55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (49   $ (38   $ (23   $ (29   $ 10     $ (139   $ (61
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.8     71.4     59.5     59.5     63.7     62.9     61.7

Underwriting expense ratio

     27.5     27.9     33.7     32.7     26.7     30.2     30.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     87.3     99.3     93.2     92.2     90.4     93.1     92.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     90.8     93.8     93.7     94.3     88.4     93.1     92.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     63.3     65.9     60.0     61.6     61.7     62.9     61.8

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (4.1 %)      (2.9 %)      (2.2 %)      (2.8 %)      0.9     (3.0 %)      (1.4 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.6     8.4     1.7     0.7     1.1     3.0     1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.8     71.4     59.5     59.5     63.7     62.9     61.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 7


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Gross written premiums

   $ 626     $ 1,073     $ 573     $ 416     $ 577     $ 2,688     $ 2,504  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (202     (449     (180     (92     (183     (923     (832
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     424       624       393       324       394       1,765       1,672  

Change in unearned premiums

     61       (97     (36     18       71       (54     (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     485       527       357       342       465       1,711       1,662  

Loss and LAE

     325       407       232       208       319       1,172       1,114  

Underwriting expense

     76       114       104       91       71       385       382  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 84     $ 6     $ 21     $ 43     $ 75     $ 154     $ 166  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ 2     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 2     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     (3     23       11       5       6       36       31  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ (3   $ 25     $ 11     $ 5     $ 6     $ 38     $ 31  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (4   $ (8   $ (11   $ (17   $ 13     $ (40   $ (21
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     67.1     77.3     64.9     60.8     68.6     68.5     67.0

Underwriting expense ratio

     15.5     21.6     29.3     26.5     15.3     22.5     23.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     82.6     98.9     94.2     87.3     83.9     91.0     90.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     84.0     96.0     94.3     90.7     79.7     91.2     89.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     68.5     74.4     65.0     64.2     64.4     68.7     66.3

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (0.8 %)      (1.5 %)      (3.1 %)      (4.8 %)      3.0     (2.3 %)      (1.2 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     (0.6 %)      4.4     3.0     1.4     1.2     2.1     1.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     67.1     77.3     64.9     60.8     68.6     68.5     67.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 8


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Gross written premiums

   $ 737     $ 850     $ 756     $ 744     $ 684     $ 3,087     $ 2,792  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (182     (226     (195     (204     (174     (807     (756
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     555       624       561       540       510       2,280       2,036  

Change in unearned premiums

     18       (56     (24     (32     —         (94     (30
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     573       568       537       508       510       2,186       2,006  

Loss and LAE

     338       402       339       331       348       1,410       1,320  

Underwriting expense

     177       164       169       162       149       672       608  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 58     $ 2     $ 29     $ 15     $ 13     $ 104     $ 78  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ 4     $ 2     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 6     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     14       54       2       1       4       71       10  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 18     $ 56     $ 2     $ 1     $ 4     $ 77     $ 10  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (52   $ (23   $ (5   $ (6   $ 3     $ (86   $ (13
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.1     70.7     63.1     65.2     68.2     64.5     65.8

Underwriting expense ratio

     30.9     28.8     31.6     31.8     29.2     30.7     30.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     90.0     99.5     94.7     97.0     97.4     95.2     96.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     96.7     94.0     95.2     97.9     96.1     95.9     96.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     65.8     65.2     63.6     66.1     66.9     65.2     66.0

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (9.2 %)      (4.0 %)      (0.9 %)      (1.1 %)      0.5     (4.0 %)      (0.7 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     2.5     9.5     0.4     0.2     0.8     3.3     0.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.1     70.7     63.1     65.2     68.2     64.5     65.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 9


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Gross written premiums

   $ 208     $ 181     $ 174     $ 164     $ 180     $ 727     $ 685  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (52     (31     (25     (23     (26     (131     (113
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     156       150       149       141       154       596       572  

Change in unearned premiums

     (15     (8     (3     6       (13     (20     (15
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     141       142       146       147       141       576       557  

Loss and LAE

     47       79       49       52       46       227       178  

Underwriting expense

     75       66       74       73       75       288       295  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss)

   $ 19     $ (3   $ 23     $ 22     $ 20     $ 61     $ 84  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ 2     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 2     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     (5     29       5       1       2       30       11  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ (5   $ 31     $ 5     $ 1     $ 2     $ 32     $ 11  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 1     $ (5   $ (8   $ (9   $ (6   $ (21   $ (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     33.1     56.0     33.1     35.6     32.4     39.4     32.0

Underwriting expense ratio

     53.1     46.2     51.3     49.4     53.6     50.0     52.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     86.2     102.2     84.4     85.0     86.0     89.4     84.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     89.1     84.9     86.5     90.6     88.8     87.8     86.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     36.0     38.7     35.2     41.2     35.2     37.8     34.0

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     0.8     (3.1 %)      (5.4 %)      (6.4 %)      (4.5 %)      (3.6 %)      (4.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     (3.7 %)      20.4     3.3     0.8     1.7     5.2     2.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     33.1     56.0     33.1     35.6     32.4     39.4     32.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 10


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Gross written premiums

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     26       35       27       22       25       110       106  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     26       35       27       22       25       110       106  

Change in unearned premiums

     —         (5     (2     3       3       (4     (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     26       30       25       25       28       106       103  

Loss and LAE

     23       17       14       17       16       71       57  

Underwriting expense

     8       9       11       9       10       37       37  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss)

   $ (5   $ 4     $ —       $ (1   $ 2     $ (2   $ 9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     2       1       —         —         —         3       3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 2     $ 1     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 3     $ 3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 6     $ (2   $ 1     $ 3     $ —       $ 8     $ (4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     86.2     52.6     62.0     68.0     59.5     66.9     54.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     36.8     32.5     36.3     37.8     35.4     35.8     36.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     123.0     85.1     98.3     105.8     94.9     102.7     91.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.5     90.4     93.5     93.4     93.7     93.0     92.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 11


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16      12/31/17     12/31/16  

Net investment income

   $ 376     $ 375     $ 360     $ 347     $ 346      $ 1,458     $ 1,356  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     17       15       14       14       14        60       53  

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     7       11       12       13       13        43       50  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     400       401       386       374       373        1,561       1,459  

Annuity benefits

     257       215       224       196       160        892       800  

Acquisition expenses

     15       54       47       52       54        168       181  

Other expenses

     31       30       30       30       27        121       110  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     303       299       301       278       241        1,181       1,091  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 97     $ 102     $ 85     $ 96     $ 132      $ 380     $ 368  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 
                                                           

Detail of Annuity earnings before income taxes

               

Earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting

   $ 108     $ 106     $ 101     $ 98     $ 103      $ 413     $ 395  

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     (11     (4     (16     (2     29        (33     (27
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

   $ 97     $ 102     $ 85     $ 96     $ 132      $ 380     $ 368  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.    

 

Page 12


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

              

Interest credited - fixed

   $ 164     $ 160     $ 157     $ 152     $ 148     $ 633     $ 574  

Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities

     1       1       2       1       1       5       5  

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve

     5       5       4       4       4       18       18  

Amortization of sales inducements

     5       4       4       6       7       19       24  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve

     16       18       17       16       20       67       69  

Change in other benefit reserves

     9       16       9       11       11       45       34  

Unlockings (a)

     35       —         —         —         23       35       23  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting

     235       204       193       190       214       822       747  

Embedded derivative mark-to-market (b)

     178       127       112       147       6       564       194  

Equity option mark-to-market

     (156     (116     (81     (141     (60     (494     (141
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of fair value accounting

     22       11       31       6       (54     70       53  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 257     $ 215     $ 224     $ 196     $ 160     $ 892     $ 800  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $32 million in 2017 and $24 million in 2016 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses and other income. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense of $3 million in 2017 and an expense reduction of $1 million in 2016.
(b) Excludes unlocking impact of $25 million in 2017 and $17 million in 2016.    

 

Page 13


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) (a)

   $ 32,245     $ 31,713     $ 30,988     $ 30,055     $ 29,192     $ 31,250     $ 28,223  

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     32,680       32,029       31,212       30,183       29,250       31,526       28,146  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments (a)

   $ (435   $ (316   $ (224   $ (128   $ (58   $ (276   $ 77  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.62     4.70     4.62     4.59     4.72     4.63     4.77

Interest credited

     (2.00 %)      (2.01 %)      (2.01 %)      (2.01 %)      (2.02 %)      (2.01 %)      (2.04 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities

     2.62     2.69     2.61     2.58     2.70     2.62     2.73

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.10     0.10     0.12     0.14     0.15     0.11     0.15

Other annuity benefit expenses, net

     (0.21 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.31 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.28 %)      (0.33 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     (0.60 %)      (0.65 %)      (0.58 %)      (0.67 %)      (1.06 %)      (0.62 %)      (0.70 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.37 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.35 %)      (0.37 %)      (0.38 %) 

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (0.27 %)      (0.14 %)      (0.39 %)      (0.08 %)      0.73     (0.22 %)      (0.19 %) 

Unlockings

     (0.06 %)      0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     (0.01 %)      0.01
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.21     1.31     1.11     1.28     1.82     1.23     1.29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 32,680     $ 32,029     $ 31,212     $ 30,183     $ 29,250     $ 31,526     $ 28,146  

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.21     1.31     1.11     1.28     1.82     1.23     1.29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 99     $ 105     $ 87     $ 96     $ 133     $ 387     $ 363  

Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments

   $ (435   $ (316   $ (224   $ (128   $ (58   $ (276   $ 77  

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.62     4.70     4.62     4.59     4.72     4.63     4.77
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) on annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments

   $ (5   $ (4   $ (3   $ (1   $ —       $ (13   $ 4  

Variable annuity earnings (loss)

     3       1       1       1       (1     6       1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

   $ 97     $ 102     $ 85     $ 96     $ 132     $ 380     $ 368  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
                                                          

Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities

              

Net spread earned - before impact of fair value accounting

     1.34     1.36     1.32     1.31     1.42     1.33     1.39

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (0.27 %)      (0.14 %)      (0.39 %)      (0.08 %)      0.73     (0.22 %)      (0.19 %) 

Estimated net offsets to deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs

     0.14     0.09     0.18     0.05     (0.33 %)      0.12     0.09
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned - after impact of fair value accounting

     1.21     1.31     1.11     1.28     1.82     1.23     1.29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Excludes non-investment assets such as deferred acquisition costs, FIA options, accrued investment income and company owned life insurance.

 

Page 14


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17      09/30/17      06/30/17      03/31/17      12/31/16      12/31/17      12/31/16  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 413      $ 367      $ 474      $ 469      $ 415      $ 1,723      $ 1,714  

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     22        19        22        20        22        83        82  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

     364        360        500        487        474        1,711        1,950  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     63        82        215        262        152        622        468  

Education market - fixed and indexed annuities

     41        41        47        45        40        174        184  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     903        869        1,258        1,283        1,103        4,313        4,398  

Variable annuities

     6        7        8        7        8        28        37  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 909      $ 876      $ 1,266      $ 1,290      $ 1,111      $ 4,341      $ 4,435  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 15


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 32,354     $ 31,704     $ 30,719     $ 29,647     $ 28,853     $ 29,647     $ 26,371  

Premiums

     903       869       1,258       1,283       1,103       4,313       4,398  

Federal Home Loan Bank advances (paydowns) (“FHLB”)

     (64     —         —         —         —         (64     150  

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (596     (540     (571     (539     (524     (2,246     (2,189

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Interest credited

     164       160       157       152       148       633       574  

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     178       127       112       147       6       564       194  

Change in other benefit reserves

     25       34       29       29       34       117       122  

Unlockings

     41       —         —         —         27       41       27  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 33,005     $ 32,354     $ 31,704     $ 30,719     $ 29,647     $ 33,005     $ 29,647  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 33,005     $ 32,354     $ 31,704     $ 30,719     $ 29,647     $ 33,005     $ 29,647  

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     133       138       128       100       76       133       76  

Fixed component of variable annuities

     178       179       182       183       184       178       184  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 33,316     $ 32,671     $ 32,014     $ 31,002     $ 29,907     $ 33,316     $ 29,907  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     7.4     6.8     7.4     7.3     7.3     7.6     8.3

 

Page 16


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate (“GMIR”) Analysis

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

GMIR    12/31/17     9/30/17     6/30/17     3/31/17     12/31/16  

1 - 1.99%

     76     75     75     73     72

2 - 2.99%

     5     5     5     6     6

3 - 3.99%

     10     10     10     11     12

4.00% and above

     9     10     10     10     10

Annuity Benefits Accumulated

   $ 33,316     $ 32,671     $ 32,014     $ 31,002     $ 29,907  

Traditional Fixed and FIA Surrender Value (a) (b)

   $ 25,138     $ 24,428     $ 23,925     $ 23,284     $ 22,264  

Ability to Lower Average Crediting Rates by (a) (c)

     0.92     0.88     0.86     0.82     0.80

Pretax earnings impact of crediting guaranteed minimums (a)

(assumes net DAC impact over time = $0)

   $ 230     $ 216     $ 206     $ 191     $ 178  

 

(a) Excludes Annuities with Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits, FHLB advances, immediate reserves and certain other reserves.     
(b) FIA Surrender Value include Host + Embedded Derivatives + Fixed Account values.
(c) Weighted Average Crediting Rate less GMIR

 

Page 17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16  

Assets:

            

Total cash and investments

   $ 46,048     $ 45,253     $ 44,779     $ 43,350     $ 41,433     $ 41,805  

Recoverables from reinsurers

     3,369       3,262       2,839       2,735       2,737       2,814  

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     600       691       587       533       539       634  

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

     1,146       1,173       1,124       989       997       1,029  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     1,216       1,119       1,156       1,205       1,239       867  

Assets of managed investment entities

     4,902       4,767       4,873       5,331       4,765       4,312  

Other receivables

     1,030       1,545       923       875       908       1,391  

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

     644       628       620       614       600       606  

Other assets

     1,504       1,526       1,518       1,633       1,655       1,188  

Goodwill

     199       199       199       199       199       199  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 60,658     $ 60,163     $ 58,618     $ 57,464     $ 55,072     $ 54,845  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

            

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 9,678     $ 9,563     $ 8,730     $ 8,621     $ 8,563     $ 8,661  

Unearned premiums

     2,410       2,567       2,294       2,174       2,171       2,328  

Annuity benefits accumulated

     33,316       32,671       32,014       31,002       29,907       29,222  

Life, accident and health reserves

     658       667       676       687       691       700  

Payable to reinsurers

     743       906       681       621       634       835  

Liabilities of managed investment entities

     4,687       4,506       4,685       5,101       4,549       4,067  

Long-term debt

     1,301       1,284       1,405       1,283       1,283       1,300  

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

     644       628       620       614       600       606  

Other liabilities

     1,887       1,992       2,201       2,166       1,755       1,768  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities

   $ 55,324     $ 54,784     $ 53,306     $ 52,269     $ 50,153     $ 49,487  

Redeemable noncontrolling interests

   $ 3     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Shareholders’ equity (a):

            

Common stock

   $ 88     $ 88     $ 88     $ 88     $ 87     $ 87  

Capital surplus

     1,181       1,167       1,158       1,138       1,111       1,242  

Unappropriated retained earnings

     3,248       3,435       3,451       3,466       3,343       3,079  

Unrealized gains - equities

     221       173       158       145       98       103  

Unrealized gains - fixed maturities

     619       533       481       384       306       669  

Unrealized gains (losses) - fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges

     (13     (6     (6     (8     (7     5  

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

     (14     (11     (18     (22     (22     (24
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

     5,330       5,379       5,312       5,191       4,916       5,161  

Noncontrolling interests

     1       —         —         4       3       197  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 60,658     $ 60,163     $ 58,618     $ 57,464     $ 55,072     $ 54,845  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) AFG intends to adopt the pending FASB guidance regarding the reclassification of certain tax effects between accumulated other comprehensive income (“AOCI”) and retained earnings effective December 31, 2017. Accordingly, the components of shareholders’ equity in this supplement reflect the reclassification of the impact of the change in the U.S. corporate rate on the components of AOCI from retained earnings to the individual components of AOCI.

 

Page 18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

 

     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16  

Shareholders’ equity

   $ 5,330     $ 5,379     $ 5,312     $ 5,191     $ 4,916     $ 5,161  

Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturities

     (606     (527     (475     (376     (299     (674
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

     4,724       4,852       4,837       4,815       4,617       4,487  

Goodwill

     (199     (199     (199     (199     (199     (199

Intangibles

     (27     (29     (30     (32     (34     (44
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,498     $ 4,624     $ 4,608     $ 4,584     $ 4,384     $ 4,244  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

     88.275       88.093       88.007       87.592       86.924       86.813  

Book value per share:

            

Book value per share

   $ 60.38     $ 61.06     $ 60.36     $ 59.26     $ 56.55     $ 59.45  

Adjusted (a)

     53.51       55.08       54.97       54.98       53.11       51.68  

Tangible, adjusted (b)

     50.95       52.50       52.36       52.34       50.43       48.89  

Market capitalization

            

AFG’s closing common share price

   $ 108.54     $ 103.45     $ 99.37     $ 95.42     $ 88.12     $ 75.00  

Market capitalization

   $ 9,581     $ 9,113     $ 8,745     $ 8,358     $ 7,660     $ 6,511  

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

     2.03       1.88       1.81       1.74       1.66       1.45  

 

(a) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.     
(b) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.     

 

Page 19


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16  

AFG senior obligations

   $ 1,018     $ 1,003     $ 1,128     $ 1,008     $ 1,008     $ 1,008  

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

     —         —         —         —         —         —    

Obligations of subsidiaries - other

     —         —         —         —         —         18  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt

   $ 1,018     $ 1,003     $ 1,128     $ 1,008     $ 1,008     $ 1,026  

AFG subordinated debentures

     300       300       300       300       300       300  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total principal amount of long-term debt

   $ 1,318     $ 1,303     $ 1,428     $ 1,308     $ 1,308     $ 1,326  

Shareholders’ equity

     5,330       5,379       5,312       5,191       4,916       5,161  

Noncontrolling interests (including redeemable NCI)

     4       —         —         4       3       197  

Less:

            

Unrealized (gains) - fixed maturity investments

     (619     (533     (481     (384     (306     (669
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

   $ 6,033     $ 6,149     $ 6,259     $ 6,119     $ 5,921     $ 6,015  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

            

Including subordinated debt

     21.8     21.2     22.8     21.4     22.1     22.0

Excluding subordinated debt

     16.9     16.3     18.0     16.5     17.0     17.1

 

Page 20


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17      09/30/17      06/30/17      03/31/17      12/31/16      12/31/17      12/31/16  

Property and Casualty Insurance

                    

Paid Losses (GAAP)

   $ 726      $ 596      $ 652      $ 554      $ 683      $ 2,528      $ 2,353  

 

 

 

     12/31/17      09/30/17      06/30/17      03/31/17      12/31/16      09/30/16  

Statutory Surplus

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 2,732      $ 2,817      $ 2,882      $ 3,013      $ 2,939      $ 3,038  

AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital)

   $ 2,442      $ 2,433      $ 2,389      $ 2,341      $ 2,234      $ 2,216  

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 567      $ 496      $ 496      $ 496      $ 496      $ 434  

Annuity and Run-off

     263        197        197        197        197        375  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 830      $ 693      $ 693      $ 693      $ 693      $ 809  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 21


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Carrying Value - December 31, 2017  
     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
     Annuity and
Run-off
     Parent and
Other Non-
Insurance
     Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
     % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 1,398      $ 625      $ 315      $ —       $ 2,338        5

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     7,142        31,223        14        —         38,379        83

Fixed maturities - Trading

     232        116        —          —         348        1

Equity securities

     1,012        594        56        —         1,662        4

Policy loans

     —          184        —          —         184        0

Mortgage loans

     308        817        —          —         1,125        2

Equity index call options

     —          701        —          —         701        2

Real estate and other investments

     562        906        57        (214     1,311        3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 10,654      $ 35,166      $ 442      $ (214   $ 46,048        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities

   $ 165      $ 114      $ —        $ —       $ 279     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

     Carrying Value - December 31, 2016  
     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
     Annuity and
Run-off
     Parent and
Other Non-
Insurance
     Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
     % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 1,383      $ 511      $ 213      $ —       $ 2,107        5

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     6,510        28,021        13        —         34,544        83

Fixed maturities - Trading

     242        117        —          —         359        1

Equity securities

     1,013        496        49        —         1,558        4

Policy loans

     —          192        —          —         192        0

Mortgage loans

     261        886        —          —         1,147        3

Equity index call options

     —          492        —          —         492        1

Real estate and other investments

     497        705        48        (216     1,034        3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 9,906      $ 31,420      $ 323      $ (216   $ 41,433        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities

   $ 102      $ 49      $ —        $ —       $ 151     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

Page 22


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Investment Income

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     12/31/17     09/30/17     06/30/17     03/31/17     12/31/16     12/31/17     12/31/16  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 65     $ 65     $ 65     $ 63     $ 64     $ 258     $ 257  

Fixed maturities - Trading

     —         —         2       1       (1     3       3  

Equity securities

     13       12       12       14       13       51       51  

Equity in investees

     4       8       11       4       7       27       22  

Other investments

     8       11       8       6       6       33       27  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     90       96       98       88       89       372       360  

Investment expenses

     (4     (2     (2     (2     (4     (10     (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 86     $ 94     $ 96     $ 86     $ 85     $ 362     $ 350  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (a)

   $ 10,062     $ 9,851     $ 9,947     $ 9,855     $ 9,779     $ 9,948     $ 9,550  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (b)

     3.42     3.82     3.86     3.49     3.48     3.64     3.66
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity:

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 342     $ 332     $ 322     $ 318     $ 315     $ 1,314     $ 1,223  

Equity securities

     7       5       5       5       7       22       24  

Equity in investees

     9       12       10       6       6       37       22  

Other investments

     19       26       22       19       20       86       87  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     377       375       359       348       348       1,459       1,356  

Investment expenses

     (4     (2     (2     (3     (4     (11     (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 373     $ 373     $ 357     $ 345     $ 344     $ 1,448     $ 1,346  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (a)

   $ 32,245     $ 31,713     $ 30,988     $ 30,055     $ 29,192     $ 31,250     $ 28,223  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (b)

     4.62     4.70     4.62     4.59     4.72     4.63     4.77
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

AFG consolidated net investment income:

              

Property & Casualty

   $ 86     $ 94     $ 96     $ 86     $ 85     $ 362     $ 350  

Annuity and Run-off:

              

Fixed Annuity

     373       373       357       345       344       1,448       1,346  

Variable Annuity

     3       2       3       2       2       10       10  

Run-off

     4       6       5       5       6       20       21  

Other

     6       1       4       3       —         14       6  

Consolidate CLOs

     (7     (5     (5     (6     (8     (23     (37
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 465     $ 471     $ 460     $ 435     $ 429     $ 1,831     $ 1,696  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances.
(b) Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter.

 

Page 23


 

American Financial Group, Inc.     

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions )     

   LOGO

 

December 31, 2017

   Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 293     $ 291      $ (2     1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,912       7,148        236       18     15

Foreign government

     239       242        3       1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,887       3,230        343       8     7

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     928       963        35       2     2

Asset-backed securities

     7,836       7,962        126       21     17

Corporate and other bonds

     18,291       18,891        600       49     41
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 37,386     $ 38,727      $ 1,341       100     84
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

 

        

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.51         

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.43         

Approximate average life and duration:

           

Approximate average life

     6.5 years           

Approximate duration

     5 years           

December 31, 2016

   Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 348     $ 348      $ —         1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,677       6,808        131       19     16

Foreign government

     256       261        5       1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     3,371       3,639        268       11     9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     1,446       1,493        47       4     3

Asset-backed securities

     5,962       5,959        (3     17     14

Corporate and other bonds

     16,034       16,395        361       47     40
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 34,094     $ 34,903      $ 809       100     84
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

 

        

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.56         

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.48         

Approximate average life and duration:

           

Approximate average life

     6.5 years           

Approximate duration

     5 years           

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

 

Page 24


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

($ in millions )

   LOGO

 

     December 31, 2017     December 31, 2016  
     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

                  

US Government and government agencies

   $ 244     $ 243      $ (1     3   $ 295     $ 295      $ —         4

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     2,740       2,798        58       38     2,588       2,605        17       39

Foreign government

     228       229        1       3     245       249        4       4

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     843       918        75       13     980       1,026        46       15

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     93       95        2       1     142       144        2       2

Asset-backed securities

     1,716       1,724        8       23     1,445       1,440        (5     21

Corporate and other bonds

     1,349       1,367        18       19     976       993        17       15
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 7,213     $ 7,374      $ 161       100   $ 6,671     $ 6,752      $ 81       100
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

 

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

     3.73            3.88       

Net of investment expense (a)

     3.54            3.67       

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

     4.03            4.20       

Approximate average life and duration:

                  

Approximate average life

     5 years              4.5 years         

Approximate duration

     4 years              3.5 years         

 

 

 

     December 31, 2017     December 31, 2016  
     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Annuity and Run-off:

                   

US Government and government agencies

   $ 48     $ 47      $ (1     0   $ 52     $ 52      $ —          0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     4,172       4,350        178       14     4,089       4,203        114        15

Foreign government

     11       13        2       0     11       12        1        0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,041       2,299        258       7     2,390       2,601        211        9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     835       868        33       3     1,304       1,349        45        5

Asset-backed securities

     6,120       6,238        118       20     4,517       4,519        2        16

Corporate and other bonds

     16,942       17,524        582       56     15,058       15,402        344        55
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

   $ 30,169     $ 31,339      $ 1,170       100   $ 27,421     $ 28,138      $ 717        100
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

 

                

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.66            4.72        

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.61            4.67        

Approximate average life and duration:

                   

Approximate average life

     6.5 years              6.5 years          

Approximate duration

     5 years              5 years          

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
(b) Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

Page 25


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     December 31, 2017  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,253      $ 6,356      $ 103        16

AA

     8,150        8,411        261        22

A

     9,149        9,447        298        25

BBB

     10,146        10,496        350        27
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     33,698        34,710        1,012        90

BB

     725        739        14        2

B

     324        328        4        1

Other (b)

     2,639        2,950        311        7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     3,688        4,017        329        10
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 37,386      $ 38,727      $ 1,341        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.     

 

     December 31, 2016  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

          

AAA

   $ 6,117      $ 6,189      $ 72       18

AA

     7,123        7,257        134       21

A

     8,323        8,487        164       24

BBB

     8,999        9,193        194       26
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     30,562        31,126        564       89

BB

     687        695        8       2

B

     446        445        (1     1

Other (b)

     2,399        2,637        238       8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     3,532        3,777        245       11
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 34,094      $ 34,903      $ 809       100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.
(b) See page 30 for more information.

 

Page 26


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

December 31, 2017

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 207      $ 205      $ (2     5     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,218        1,386        168       33     3

Alt-A

     994        1,122        128       27     3

Subprime

     468        517        49       12     1

Commercial

     928        963        35       23     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 3,815      $ 4,193      $ 378       100     9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

- Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.     
- The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 79%; Subprime 84%; CMBS 99%.     
- The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 733; Alt-A 702; Subprime 632.     
- 95% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (83% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 32%.     
- The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 4.5 years; Commercial 5.5 years.     

 

December 31, 2016

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 243      $ 243      $ —          5     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,406        1,557        151        30     4

Alt-A

     1,093        1,170        77        23     3

Subprime

     629        669        40        13     2

Commercial

     1,446        1,493        47        29     3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 4,817      $ 5,132      $ 315        100     12
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

Page 27


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

 

     December 31, 2017  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 166      $ 163      $ (3     16     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     174        195        21       19     2

Alt-A

     301        339        38       34     3

Subprime

     202        221        19       22     2

Commercial

     93        95        2       9     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 936      $ 1,013      $ 77       100     10
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2016  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 192      $ 191      $ (1     17     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     187        202        15       17     2

Alt-A

     342        361        19       31     4

Subprime

     259        272        13       23     3

Commercial

     142        144        2       12     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,122      $ 1,170      $ 48       100     12
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off:

            
     December 31, 2017  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 41      $ 42      $ 1       1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,041        1,178        137       37     4

Alt-A

     693        783        90       25     2

Subprime

     266        296        30       10     1

Commercial

     835        868        33       27     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 2,876      $ 3,167      $ 291       100     9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2016  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 51      $ 52      $ 1       1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,218        1,343        125       34     4

Alt-A

     751        809        58       21     3

Subprime

     370        397        27       10     1

Commercial

     1,304        1,349        45       34     5
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,694      $ 3,950      $ 256       100     13
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

Page 28


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     December 31, 2017  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 1,209      $ 1,246      $ 37        30

AA

     90        93        3        2

A

     225        239        14        6

BBB

     170        182        12        4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - investment grade

     1,694        1,760        66        42

BB

     192        197        5        5

B

     224        230        6        5

Other (b)

     1,705        2,006        301        48
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,815      $ 4,193      $ 378        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

     December 31, 2016  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 1,668      $ 1,720      $ 52        34

AA

     164        169        5        3

A

     256        268        12        5

BBB

     274        288        14        6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - investment grade

     2,362        2,445        83        48

BB

     211        212        1        4

B

     330        333        3        6

Other (b)

     1,914        2,142        228        42
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 4,817      $ 5,132      $ 315        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.
(b) See page 30 for more information.

 

Page 29


Appendix A

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Fair Value - December 31, 2017  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn gov      RMBS      CMBS      ABS      Corp/Oth           Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                              

AAA

   $ 250      $ 1,848      $ 168      $ 444      $ 802      $ 2,649      $ 195          $ 6,356        16

AA

     34        4,671        66        74        19        2,242        1,305            8,411        22

A

     —          494        3        216        23        1,835        6,876            9,447        25

BBB

     —          47        —          106        76        800        9,467            10,496        27
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     284        7,060        237        840        920        7,526        17,843            34,710        90
 

BB

     —          4        4        173        24        23        511            739        2

B

     —          7        1        226        4        —          90            328        1

CCC, CC, C

     —          1        —          902        3        3        26            935        2

D

     —          5        —          517        —          —          —              522        1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     —          17        5        1,818        31        26        627            2,524        6
 

Not Rated

     7        71        —          572        12        410        421            1,493        4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 291      $ 7,148      $ 242      $ 3,230      $ 963      $ 7,962      $ 18,891          $ 38,727        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Fair Value - December 31, 2016  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn gov      RMBS      CMBS      ABS      Corp/Oth           Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                              

AAA

   $ 299      $ 1,727      $ 171      $ 508      $ 1,213      $ 2,053      $ 218          $ 6,189        18

AA

     41        4,388        30        127        42        1,480        1,149            7,257        21

A

     —          501        55        170        98        1,593        6,070            8,487        24

BBB

     —          69        5        202        86        813        8,018            9,193        26
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     340        6,685        261        1,007        1,439        5,939        15,455            31,126        89
 

BB

     —          4        —          184        29        16        462            695        2

B

     —          8        —          307        25        1        104            445        1

CCC, CC, C

     —          11        —          963        —          3        32            1,009        3

D

     —          —          —          679        —          —          —              679        2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     —          23        —          2,133        54        20        598            2,828        8

Not Rated

     8        100        —          499        —          —          342            949        3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 348      $ 6,808      $ 261      $ 3,639      $ 1,493      $ 5,959      $ 16,395          $ 34,903        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

        

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

Page 30