8-K
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC false 0001042046 0001042046 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 0001042046 us-gaap:CommonStockMember 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 0001042046 afg:SixSubordinatedDebenturesDueNovember152055Member 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 0001042046 afg:Five875SubordinatedDebenturesDueMarch302059Member 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 0001042046 afg:Five125SubordinatedDebenturesDueDecember152059Member 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 0001042046 afg:Five625SubordinatedDebenturesDueJune12060Member 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 0001042046 afg:Four5SubordinatedDebenturesDueSeptember152060Member 2020-10-28 2020-10-28

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 28, 2020

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of each class

 

Trading

Symbol(s)

 

Name of each exchange

on which registered

Common Stock   AFG   New York Stock Exchange
6% Subordinated Debentures due November 15, 2055   AFGH   New York Stock Exchange
5.875% Subordinated Debentures due March 30, 2059   AFGB   New York Stock Exchange
5.125% Subordinated Debentures due December 15, 2059   AFGC   New York Stock Exchange
5.625% Subordinated Debentures due June 1, 2060   AFGD   New York Stock Exchange
4.5% Subordinated Debentures due September 15, 2060   AFGE   New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company  

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ☐

 

 

 


Section 2 - Financial Information

 

Item 2.02

Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the third quarter of 2020 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on October 28, 2020. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.

Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

 

Item 9.01

Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (a)

Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

 

  (b)

Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

 

  (c)

Shell company transactions. Not applicable

 

  (d)

Exhibits

 

Exhibit
No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated October 28, 2020, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020.
99.2    Investor Supplement – Third Quarter 2020
104    Cover page Interactive Date File (embedded within Inline XBRL document)

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Date: October 29, 2020

     
    By:  

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

          Karl J. Grafe
          Vice President

 

3

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

 

Press Release

 

For Immediate Release

  

 

LOGO

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Results

 

   

Net earnings per share of $1.86; includes ($0.59) per share in after-tax non-core items

 

   

Core net operating earnings of $2.45 per share; includes $0.61 per share in earnings from alternative investments

 

   

Third quarter annualized ROE of 12.9%; annualized core operating ROE of 17.1%

 

   

Share repurchases of $96 million during the quarter (average price of $66.01 per share)

 

   

Parent company cash of $577 million and excess capital of $1 billion at September 30, 2020

 

   

P&C renewal pricing up 13% overall; highest in 15 years

 

   

Full year 2020 core net operating earnings guidance excluding the impact of alternative investments $7.00 - $7.50 per share, an increase from our previous guidance of $6.60 - $7.40 per share

CINCINNATI – October 28, 2020 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2020 third quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $164 million ($1.86 per share) compared to $147 million ($1.62 per share) for the 2019 third quarter. Net earnings for the 2020 third quarter included net unfavorable after-tax non-core items aggregating $53 million ($0.59 per share loss). These items included after-tax charges of $54 million ($0.61 per share) to strengthen the Company’s asbestos and environmental (“A&E”) reserves, a negative impact of $34 million ($0.38 per share) for annuity non-core items – primarily the result of unlocking of actuarial assumptions, non-core after-tax realized gains on securities of $35 million ($0.40 per share) and $3 million ($0.03 per share) in net favorable items related to Neon Exited Lines. Comparatively, net earnings in the 2019 third quarter included net unfavorable after-tax non-core items of $58 million ($0.63 per share loss). Other details may be found in the table below. Book value per share was $72.65 per share at September 30, 2020. Annualized return on equity was 12.9% and 11.0% for the third quarters of 2020 and 2019, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $217 million ($2.45 per share) for the 2020 third quarter, compared to $205 million ($2.25 per share) in the 2019 third quarter. Core net operating earnings for the third quarters of 2020 and 2019 generated annualized returns on equity of 17.1% and 15.3%, respectively. The year-over-year increase was primarily the result of higher underwriting profit in the Specialty Property and Casualty (“P&C”) insurance operations and higher earnings from the Company’s $2.3 billion of alternative investments that are marked to market through core operating earnings. These items were partially offset by lower other property and casualty net investment income. The COVID-19 pandemic has had widespread financial and economic impacts, which adversely impacted returns on AFG’s alternative investments during the first six months of 2020. Excluding the impact of alternative investments, AFG’s third quarter 2020 core net operating earnings decreased $3 million year-over-year. Additional details may be found in the table below.

 

Page 1


     Three Months Ended September 30,  

Components of Pretax Core Operating Earnings

   2020     2019     2020      2019      2020     2019  
Dollars in millions, except per share amounts    Before Impact of
Alternative Investments
    Alternative
Investments, net of DAC
     Core Net Operating
Earnings, as reported
 

P&C Pretax Core Operating Earnings

   $ 177     $ 169     $ 28      $ 25      $ 205     $ 194  

Annuity Pretax Core Operating Earnings

     81       75       40        25        121       100  

Other Expenses

     (28     (22     —          —          (28     (22

Holding Company Interest Expense

     (24     (17     —          —          (24     (17
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Core Operating Earnings

     206       205       68        50        274       255  

Related Income Taxes

     43       39       14        11        57       50  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core Net Operating Earnings

   $ 163     $ 166     $ 54      $ 39      $ 217     $ 205  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core Net Operating Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.84     $ 1.82     $ 0.61      $ 0.43      $ 2.45     $ 2.25  

Weighted Avg Diluted Shares Outstanding

     88.5       91.1       88.5        91.1        88.5       91.1  

Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains related to fixed maturities, was $58.29 per share at September 30, 2020. In the 2020 third quarter, AFG repurchased 1.45 million shares of its common stock at an average price of $66.01 per share, for a total of approximately $96 million.

Beginning with the second quarter of 2019, AFG changed the way it defines annuity core operating earnings to exclude the impact of items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. Core net operating earnings for periods prior to the change have not been adjusted, however results for the nine month period ended September 30, 2019 are reconciled to historically reported Annuity Segment core operating earnings on page 6 of this release. Beginning prospectively with the first quarter of 2020, AFG’s core net operating earnings for its property and casualty insurance segment exclude the run-off operations of Neon (“Neon Exited Lines”). The Neon Exited Lines impact is highlighted in the table below.

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, ratings agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized gains and losses, annuity non-core earnings and losses, and special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFG’s management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFG’s management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.

 

Page 2


Dollars in millions, except per share amounts    Three months ended
September 30,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2020      2019      2020      2019  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

           

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 274      $ 251      $ 600      $ 716  

Pretax non-core items:

           

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     45        (18      (302      222  

Annuity non-core earnings (losses)

     (43      (27      (140      (60

Special A&E charges(b)

     (68      (29      (68      (29

Neon Exited Lines

     (70      —          (122      —    

Other

     (4      —        (4      —  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

     134        177        (36      849  

Provision (benefit) for income taxes:

           

Core operating earnings

     57        50        117        143  

Non-core items

     (87      (16      (180      28  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total provision (benefit) for income taxes

     (30      34        (63      171  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests

     164        143        27        678  

Less net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests:

           

Core operating earnings (losses)

     —          (4      —          (8

Non-core items

     —          —        (13      —  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —          (4      (13      (8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 164      $ 147      $ 40      $ 686  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 217      $ 205      $ 483      $ 581  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     35        (14      (239      176  

Annuity non-core earnings (losses)

     (34      (21      (111      (48

Special A&E charges(b)

     (54      (23      (54      (23

Neon Exited Lines

     3        —          (36      —    

Other

     (3      —        (3      —  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 164      $ 147      $ 40      $ 686  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Components of Earnings Per Share:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 2.45      $ 2.25      $ 5.37      $ 6.39  

Non-core Items:

           

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     0.40        (0.15      (2.64      1.93  

Annuity non-core earnings (losses)

     (0.38      (0.23      (1.23      (0.52

Special A&E charges(b)

     (0.61      (0.25      (0.61      (0.25

Neon Exited Lines

     0.03        —          (0.41      —    

Other

     (0.03      —        (0.03      —  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.86      $ 1.62      $ 0.45      $ 7.55  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Footnotes (a) and (b) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: “Results in our core operating businesses were excellent during the third quarter, producing an annualized core operating ROE in excess of 17%. We are especially pleased with the recovery in and performance of our alternative investments, which are marked to market through core earnings. Our liquidity and excess capital afford us the flexibility to effectively address and respond to the uncertainties introduced by COVID-19, and we believe our results demonstrate the value of our disciplined operating philosophy and portfolio of diversified specialty insurance businesses.

“AFG had approximately $1 billion of excess capital at September 30, 2020. This number included parent company cash of approximately $600 million. As illustrated in the table below, taking into account the $375 to $400 million in additional excess capital created by our recently announced annuity block reinsurance agreement and adjusting for the November redemption of our 6% Subordinated Debentures due 2055, AFG’s excess capital on a pro forma basis at September 30, 2020 would be approximately $1.2 billion. Our insurance subsidiaries are projected to have capital in excess of the levels expected by ratings agencies in order to maintain their current ratings.”

 

Page 3


Dollars in millions    Parent Cash      Excess Capital  

September 30, 2020 Actual

   $ 577      $ 1,043  

Pro Forma Impacts:

     

Block Reinsurance Agreement and GALIC dividend*

   $ 200      $ 375  

Debt Redemption

     (150      (192
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

September 30, 2020 Pro Forma

   $ 627      $ 1,226  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

*

Dividend to be paid by GALIC to AFG parent on November 2, 2020.

AFG has provided full year 2020 core net operating earnings per share guidance excluding earnings or losses from alternative investments (marked-to-market through core operating earnings), due to the uncertainty of the implications of COVID-19 and the resulting volatility in the financial markets, particularly in the first six months of 2020. AFG now expects its 2020 core net operating earnings per share excluding alternative investments to be in the range of $7.00 to $7.50 per share, an increase from our previous guidance of $6.60 to $7.40 per share. For comparison, AFG’s 2019 full year core operating earnings per share excluding alternative investments were $7.11. In addition to excluding earnings on alternative investments where indicated, our 2020 core earnings per share expectations and guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, annuity non-core earnings and losses, and other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations. Furthermore, the above guidance reflects the impacts of (i) the continued negative impact of low interest rates (ii) a decline in property and casualty premiums as indicated in our detailed guidance, (iii) renewal rate actions taken on annuity policies near or after the end of their surrender charge period, and (iv) our current estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on AFG’s results of operations.

Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

Pretax core operating earnings in AFG’s P&C Insurance Segment were $205 million in the third quarter of 2020, compared to $194 million in the prior year period, an increase of $11 million, or 6%. Higher year-over-year P&C underwriting profit and higher earnings from alternative investments were partially offset by lower other P&C net investment income, primarily the result of higher average cash balances and lower interest rates.

The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $104 million in the 2020 third quarter, compared to $88 million in the third quarter of 2019. Higher year-over-year underwriting profits in our Specialty Casualty and Property and Transportation Groups were partially offset by lower underwriting profits in our Specialty Financial Group. The third quarter 2020 combined ratio of 92.1% was 1.9 points lower than the 94.0% reported in the comparable prior year period, and includes 2.7 points in catastrophe losses. By comparison, catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2019 added 1.6 points. Third quarter 2020 results included 3.7 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 3.1 points in the comparable prior year period.

AFG did not record any additional reserve charges for COVID-19 in the third quarter. Given the uncertainties surrounding the ultimate number or scope of claims relating to the pandemic, approximately 82% of AFG’s COVID-19 related reserves from the $95 million in charges recorded in the first half of 2020 are held as incurred but not reported (IBNR). These reserves represent the Company’s current best estimate of losses from the pandemic and related economic disruption.

 

Page 4


Gross written and net written premiums were down 5% and 8%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2020, when compared to the same period in 2019, primarily as the result of the run-off of Neon. Excluding the impact of the Neon run-off, gross and net written premiums decreased 1% and 3%, respectively, year-over-year.

Average renewal pricing across our entire P&C Group was up approximately 13% for the quarter. Excluding our workers’ compensation business, renewal pricing was up approximately 16%. Both measures reflect further improvement from renewal rate increases achieved in the first half of 2020. Renewal pricing is the highest we have achieved in more than fifteen years in each of our Specialty P&C sub-segments and in our Specialty P&C Group overall.

Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.

The Property and Transportation Group reported 2020 third quarter underwriting profit of $47 million, compared to $38 million in the third quarter of 2019. Higher underwriting profitability in our non-crop agricultural and ocean marine businesses and improved results in our aviation business and Singapore Branch were partially offset by lower year-over-year underwriting profits in our transportation and property & inland marine businesses. Catastrophe losses for this group were $18 million in the third quarter of 2020, compared to $8 million in the comparable prior year period.

Gross and net written premiums for the third quarter of 2020 were 5% and 4% lower, respectively, than the comparable 2019 period. The decrease was largely the result of lower year-over-year crop premiums resulting from delayed premium reporting in 2019 due to late planting of corn and soybean crops. Excluding the impact of crop insurance, third quarter 2020 gross written premiums increased 1% and net written premiums decreased 2% when compared to the 2019 third quarter. Lower premiums in our transportation business, due primarily to the return of premiums and reduced exposures as a result of COVID-19, were tempered by growth and new business opportunities in our property & inland marine and ocean marine businesses. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 6% on average for the third quarter of 2020 with continued strong renewal rate momentum.

The Specialty Casualty Group reported a 2020 third quarter underwriting profit of $53 million, compared to $23 million in the third quarter of 2019. Higher year-over year underwriting profits in our excess and surplus and excess liability businesses and the impact of underwriting losses at Neon in the third quarter of 2019 were partially offset by higher adverse development in our general liability business and lower underwriting profits in our targeted markets and workers’ compensation businesses. Underwriting profitability in our workers’ compensation business overall continues to be very strong. Catastrophe losses for this group were $8 million and $10 million in the third quarters of 2020 and 2019, respectively.

Gross and net written premiums decreased 5% and 14%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2020 when compared to the same prior year period, primarily due to the run-off of Neon. Excluding the impact of Neon, gross written premiums increased 6% and net written premiums decreased by 1% in the third quarter of 2020 when compared to the same period in 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in reduced exposures in our workers’ compensation businesses, which when coupled with renewal rate decreases, also were significant contributors to the lower year-over-year premiums. Gross and net written premiums in this group grew by 13% and 5%, respectively, when excluding both Neon and workers’ compensation. Significant renewal rate increases, coupled with new business opportunities in our excess and surplus, excess liability and executive liability businesses contributed to this growth. Renewal pricing for this group was up 17% in the third quarter. Excluding our workers’ compensation businesses, renewal rates in this group were up approximately 25%. Renewal rates in our Specialty Casualty Group are an improvement from renewal rate increases achieved in the first half of 2020.

 

Page 5


The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $13 million in the third quarter of 2020, compared to $26 million in the third quarter of 2019. Higher catastrophe losses in our financial institutions business were the primary driver of the decrease. Catastrophe losses for this group were $13 million and $3 million in the third quarters of 2020 and 2019, respectively.

Gross and net written premiums for the third quarter of 2020 were 11% and 8% lower, respectively, when compared to the same 2019 period. Lower premiums resulted primarily from the impact of various state regulations regarding moratoria on policy cancelations and the placement of forced coverage in our financial institutions business, heightened risk selection that has reduced new business in our trade credit business and COVID-related economic impacts on our surety business. These decreases were partially offset by year-over-year growth in our fidelity and crime business. Renewal pricing in this group was up approximately 7% for the quarter and is an improvement from renewal rate increases achieved in the first half of 2020.

Carl Lindner III stated, “I’m very pleased with the excellent underwriting results produced by our Specialty P&C Group during the quarter, especially with higher frequency of catastrophe losses across the industry and continued uncertainty from the COVID-19 pandemic. We achieved broad-based pricing increases in the quarter, with exceptionally strong renewal pricing in our longer-tailed liability businesses. Based on our results through the nine months of the year and our current expectations of the impact of COVID-19, we now expect P&C pretax core operating earnings, excluding the impact of alternative investments, in the range of $650 million to $690 million, an increase from our previous guidance of $615 million to $675 million. We continue to expect an overall 2020 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 92% to 94%. We expect net written premiums to be down 5% to 9% when compared to the $5.3 billion reported in 2019, due primarily to the run-off of Neon. Excluding the impact of Neon, net written premiums are estimated to be 1% lower to 3% higher than the premiums reported in 2019.”

Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Annuity Segment

Annuity Core Operating Earnings – The table below reflects annuity core operating earnings under AFG’s definition utilized beginning in the second quarter of 2019. Annuity core operating earnings for the first nine months of 2019 are reconciled to previously reported annuity operating results.

 

Dollars in millions    Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2020     2019     2020     2019  

Components of Pretax Annuity Core Operating Earnings:

        

Pretax core operating earnings before alternative investments

   $ 81     $ 75     $ 244     $ 225  

Amounts previously reported as core operating, net

                 (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings before alternative investments

     81       75       244       214  

Alternative Investments, net of DAC

     40       25       (14     80  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity Core Operating Earnings, as reported

   $ 121     $ 100     $ 230     $ 294  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Year over year growth in quarterly average invested assets

     6     11     7     11

Alternative investments – change in market value during the period
(before DAC impact)

     3.4     2.4     0.2     7.9

 

Page 6


Third quarter 2020 pretax annuity core operating earnings before earnings or losses from alternative investments increased 8% year-over-year, reflecting growth in annuity assets, higher one-time investment income, the impact of a strong stock market, lower expenses and a reduction in cost of funds due to renewal rate actions by the company. These favorable items, which include items that may not necessarily recur, were offset by a decline in overall investment yields.

Earnings from alternative investments that are marked to market through core operating earnings vary from period to period based on the reported results of the underlying investments, and are generally reported on a quarter lag. The COVID-19 pandemic has had widespread financial and economic implications, which adversely impacted returns on the Annuity Segment’s $1.4 billion of alternative investments during the first six months of 2020.

Craig Lindner stated, “AFG’s Annuity Segment achieved an operating return on equity of nearly 15% in the third quarter of 2020, compared to 12% in the comparable quarter last year. We believe that the Annuity Segment’s third quarter increases in comparable returns and core operating earnings (both before and after the impact of alternative investments) demonstrate the strong fundamentals of our business. We were pleased that returns on alternative investments in the third quarter of 2020 increased sharply from the previous quarters. The average annual return on these investments over the past five calendar years was nearly 10% and the annualized return in the third quarter of 2020 was nearly 14%. This return was exceptionally high, however, and we expect a lower return on these investments in the fourth quarter.”

Annuity Premiums AFG’s Annuity Segment reported gross statutory premiums of $871 million ($703 million, net of reinsurance) in the third quarter of 2020, compared to $1.08 billion gross and net premiums in the third quarter of 2019, a decrease of 19%. Annuity sales were lower in all channels in the 2020 third quarter as a result of factors related to the COVID-19 pandemic that have significantly impacted our access to distribution partners, as well as their access to current and prospective clients.

Craig Lindner commented, “Although gross annuity premiums in the third quarter of 2020 were down from the comparable period in 2019, I am extremely pleased that sales in the third quarter of 2020 were up more than 25% from the previous quarter. Furthermore, our sales in the Financial Institutions channel for the month of September 2020 exceeded comparable monthly sales in 2019. We are clearly seeing positive momentum in premiums, and as a result, we are raising our premium guidance; our current best estimate is that 2020 gross annuity premiums will be between $3.7 billion and $4.0 billion, and will result in growth in average assets and reserves of 5% to 7% in 2020. This growth also reflects higher persistency in 2020 compared to 2019, which we attribute, in large part, to the low interest rate environment.”

2020 Annuity Core Operating Earnings Guidance, Excluding Alternative Investments – Pretax Annuity core operating earnings for the full year of 2020, excluding earnings from alternative investments, are expected to be in the range of $310 million to $325 million, an increase over our most recent guidance of $300 million to $320 million. By comparison, annuity core operating earnings excluding alternative investments were $298 million in 2019.

This guidance reflects (i) the continued negative impact of low short-term interest rates on the Annuity Segment’s approximately $5 billion net investment in cash and floating rate securities, and (ii) the favorable impact of more aggressive renewal rate actions taken by AFG on annuity policies near or after the end of their surrender charge period. We estimate our current renewal rate strategy will, once fully implemented and depending on surrender activity, result in annualized crediting rate savings of $40 to $60 million (before DAC), which is the equivalent of reducing our overall cost of funds by 10 to 15 basis points. Some of these savings have already been reflected in our reported results, and our guidance reflects expected additional savings. Guidance also assumes that the stock market and longer-term interest rates remain relatively flat over the balance of 2020.

 

Page 7


While AFG expects continued positive returns on its alternative investments in the fourth quarter of 2020, it is difficult to forecast the returns on these investments due to ongoing volatility.

Craig Lindner added, “The results of AFG’s Annuity Segment, and our guidance, demonstrate our strong business fundamentals, our pricing discipline and the success of our operating model. Following the reinsurance treaty, we have the ability to lower the crediting rates on $26 billion of annuity reserves by an average of 108 basis points, giving us a great deal of flexibility in helping us manage returns on our inforce business. Importantly, our business continues to have a very strong balance sheet, with unrealized gains on our annuity bond portfolio of $2.7 billion at September 30, 2020 and capital comfortably in excess of the amounts indicated by rating agencies to maintain our ratings. The previously announced block reinsurance transaction will further increase the amount of excess capital in both the Annuity Segment and in AFG.”

Annuity Ratings Upgrade to A+ – Earlier today A.M. Best announced that it upgraded the Financial Strength Ratings of our key annuity subsidiaries, Great American Life Insurance Company (GALIC) and its wholly owned subsidiary, Annuity Investors Life Insurance Company (AILIC), to A+ (Superior) from A (Excellent). A.M. Best has indicated that these A+ ratings reflect the quality of GALIC and AILIC’s balance sheets, strong operating performance, appropriate enterprise risk management and strong risk-adjusted capital position.

Annuity Non-Core Loss – In the third quarter of 2020, AFG reported an after-tax annuity non-core loss of $34 million ($0.38 per share loss), which primarily reflects the unfavorable impact of an unlocking adjustment discussed below.

AFG performed its annual detailed review (unlocking) of the actuarial assumptions underlying its annuity operations in the third quarter of 2020; this review resulted in a net after-tax unlocking charge of $36 million ($0.41 per share loss). The primary driver of this charge was a decrease in the assumed ultimate 10-year US Treasury rate. AFG is now assuming that the 10-year US Treasury rate will increase over ten years to 2.75%, down from our previous assumption of 3.50%.

This lower interest rate assumption resulted in (i) a negative impact related to lower expected future investment income (ii) a negative impact related to changes in assumed persistency outside the surrender period on policies without guaranteed withdrawal benefits, and (iii) a positive impact related to lower expected costs for FIA renewal options resulting from anticipated renewal rate actions.

Annuity Block Reinsurance Agreement – As previously announced, AFG’s Annuity subsidiary, Great American Life Insurance Company (“GALIC”) entered into a reinsurance agreement with Commonwealth Annuity and Life Insurance Company (“Commonwealth”), a subsidiary of Global Atlantic Financial Group Limited in October 2020. Under the terms of the agreement, GALIC ceded approximately $5.7 billion (statutory basis) of inforce traditional fixed and indexed annuities, representing approximately 15% of its inforce business, and transferred related investments to Commonwealth.

This transaction is expected to free up between $300 million and $325 million of GALIC’s statutory capital and result in higher core operating earnings and returns in both the Annuity Segment and AFG.

More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement.

 

Page 8


A&E Reserves

During the third quarter of 2020, AFG conducted an external study of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its P&C Group and its exposures related to former railroad and manufacturing operations and sites. The study resulted in non-core after-tax special charges of $54 million ($68 million pretax) to increase AFG’s A&E reserves.

The P&C Group’s asbestos reserves were increased by $26 million (net of reinsurance) and its environmental reserves were increased by $21 million (net of reinsurance). At September 30, 2020, the P&C Group’s insurance reserves include A&E reserves of $428 million, net of reinsurance recoverables. At September 30, 2020, the property and casualty insurance segment’s three-year survival ratios were 21.3 times paid losses for asbestos reserves, 19.6 times paid losses for environmental reserves and 20.5 times paid losses for total A&E reserves. These ratios compare favorably with industry data compiled by A.M. Best as of December 31, 2019, which indicate that industry survival ratios were 7.9 for asbestos, 8.5 for environmental, and 8.1 for total A&E reserves.

In addition, the 2020 external study encompassed reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures of our former railroad and manufacturing operations. As a result of the study, AFG increased its reserve for environmental exposures by $21 million, due primarily to movements across several sites that reflect changes in the scope and costs of investigation, remediation and ongoing operation and maintenance costs.

Investments

AFG recorded third quarter 2020 net realized gains on securities of $35 million ($0.40 per share) after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), which included $17 million ($0.19 per share) in after-tax, after-DAC net gains to adjust equity securities that the Company continued to own, to fair value. By comparison, AFG recorded net realized losses on securities of $14 million ($0.15 per share) in the comparable 2019 period.

Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $1.21 billion after tax and after DAC at September 30, 2020, an increase of $350 million since year end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 90% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 97% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1 or 2, its highest two categories.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, P&C net investment income was approximately 20% lower than the comparable 2019 period. Excluding the impact of alternative investments, P&C net investment income was 11% lower year-over-year, reflecting lower market interest rates and lower dividend income.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Neon Exited Lines

As announced on September 28, 2020, AFG reached a definitive agreement to sell GAI Holding Bermuda and its subsidiaries, comprising the legal entities that own its Lloyd’s of London insurer, Neon, to RiverStone Holdings Limited (“RiverStone”). The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2020, subject to customary conditions, including receipt of required regulatory approvals.

 

Page 9


AFG recorded $70 million in non-core losses related to the runoff of this business in the third quarter of 2020, which, in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, included an estimated $30 million expected loss on the sale of the business. In conjunction with the sale, AFG recognized a tax benefit of $73 million, resulting in a net favorable $3 million ($0.03 per share) non-core, after-tax impact from Neon Exited Lines in the third quarter of 2020.

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets of approximately $70 billion as of September 30, 2020. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of traditional fixed and indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions, broker-dealer, and registered investment advisor markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets, including the cost of equity index options; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; changes in insurance law or regulation, including changes in statutory accounting rules and changes in regulation of the Lloyd’s market, including modifications to capital requirements; changes in costs associated with the exit from the Lloyd’s market and the run-off of AFG’s Lloyd’s-based insurer, Neon; the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak, including the effects on the international and national economy and credit markets, legislative or regulatory developments affecting the insurance industry, quarantines or other travel or health-related restrictions; changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from pandemics, civil unrest and other major losses; disruption caused by cyber-attacks or other technology breaches or failures by AFG or its business partners and service providers, which could negatively impact AFG’s business and/or expose AFG to litigation; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and mortality; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFG’s operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy relating to AFG’s international operations; and other factors identified in AFG’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

Page 10


The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2020 third quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Thursday, October 29, 2020. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 9486816. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on November 5, 2020. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 9486816.

The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To access the event, click the following link: https://www.afginc.com/news-and-events/event-calendar. Alternatively, you can choose Events from the Investor Relations page at www.AFGinc.com.

An archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on our website until November 5, 2020 at 11:59 p.m. (ET).

Contact:

Diane P. Weidner, IRC

Vice President – Investor & Media Relations

(513) 369-5713

Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG2020-28

 

Page 11


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(Dollars in Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2020     2019     2020     2019  

Revenues

        

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 1,381     $ 1,442     $ 3,774     $ 3,815  

Net investment income

     572       588       1,584       1,710  

Realized gains (losses) on:

        

Securities

     45       (18     (302     222  

Subsidiaries

     (30     —         (30     —    

Income of managed investment entities:

        

Investment income

     46       67       154       206  

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     1       (14     (47     (16

Other income

     45       58       153       170  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     2,060       2,123       5,286       6,107  

Costs and expenses

        

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     1,369       1,394       3,676       3,634  

Annuity and supplemental insurance benefits & expenses

     375       370       1,155       1,081  

Interest charges on borrowed money

     24       17       64       50  

Expenses of managed investment entities

     31       54       117       168  

Other expenses

     127       111       310       325  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,926       1,946       5,322       5,258  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

     134       177       (36     849  

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

     (30     34       (63     171  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests

     164       143       27       678  

Less: Net earnings (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —       (4     (13     (8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 164     $ 147     $ 40     $ 686  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings per Common Share

   $ 1.86     $ 1.62     $ 0.45     $ 7.55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     88.5       91.1       89.9       90.9  

 

Selected Balance Sheet Data:

   September 30,
2020
     December 31,
2019
 

Total cash and investments

   $ 58,087      $ 55,252  

Long-term debt

   $ 2,108      $ 1,473  

Shareholders’ equity(c)

   $ 6,340      $ 6,269  

Shareholders’ equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(c)

   $ 5,087      $ 5,390  

Book value per share

   $ 72.65      $ 69.43  

Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)

   $ 58.29      $ 59.70  

Common Shares Outstanding

     87.3        90.3  

Footnote (c) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 12


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Nine months ended
September 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2020     2019           2020     2019        

Gross written premiums

   $ 2,223     $ 2,351       (5 %)    $ 5,288     $ 5,550       (5 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,488     $ 1,618       (8 %)    $ 3,776     $ 4,029       (6 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

            

Loss & LAE ratio

     63.8     63.1       61.8     60.9  

Underwriting expense ratio

     28.3     30.9       31.4     32.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Specialty Combined Ratio

     92.1     94.0       93.2     93.8  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio – P&C Segment

     98.8     96.3       97.0     94.7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(d)

            

Gross Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 1,061     $ 1,113       (5 %)    $ 2,166     $ 2,131       2

Specialty Casualty

     978       1,031       (5 %)      2,579       2,839       (9 %) 

Specialty Financial

     184       207       (11 %)      543       580       (6 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 2,223     $ 2,351       (5 %)    $ 5,288     $ 5,550       (5 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 635     $ 661       (4 %)    $ 1,447     $ 1,427       1

Specialty Casualty

     642       744       (14 %)      1,739       2,032       (14 %) 

Specialty Financial

     153       167       (8 %)      441       461       (4 %) 

Other

     58       46       26     149       109       37
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,488     $ 1,618       (8 %)    $ 3,776     $ 4,029       (6 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

            

Property & Transportation

     91.9     93.5       92.1     93.8  

Specialty Casualty

     90.7     96.5       92.1     94.5  

Specialty Financial

     91.6     83.7       93.5     86.8  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     92.1     94.0       93.2     93.8  

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2020      2019      2020      2019  

Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse:

           

Property & Transportation

   $ (26    $ (17    $ (78    $ (49

Specialty Casualty

     (16      (19      (91      (63

Specialty Financial

     (9      (9      (22      (24

Other Specialty

     3        (1      10        2  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Specialty Group

     (48      (46      (181      (134

Special A&E Reserve Charge – P&C Run-off

     47        18        47        18  

Other

     1        16        15        18  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Reserve Development

   $ —        $ (12    $ (119    $ (98
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

           

Property & Transportation

     (4.5      (2.8      (5.8      (3.7

Specialty Casualty

     (2.9      (2.9      (5.5      (3.2

Specialty Financial

     (5.7      (5.5      (4.8      (5.3

Aggregate Specialty Group

     (3.7      (3.1      (5.0      (3.5

Total P&C Segment

     —          (0.8      (3.1      (2.6

Footnote (d) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 13


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Gross Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
     Pct.
Change
    Nine months ended
September 30,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2020      2019            2020      2019         

Gross Annuity Premiums:

                

Financial Institutions

   $ 473      $ 627        (25 %)    $ 1,540      $ 2,137        (28 %) 

Retail

     151        228        (34 %)      517        868        (40 %) 

Broker-Dealer

     112        143        (22 %)      369        573        (36 %) 

Pension Risk Transfer

     99        39        154     225        99        127

Education Market

     33        35        (6 %)      104        128        (19 %) 

Variable Annuities

     3        5        (40 %)      13        16        (19 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total Gross Annuity Premiums

   $ 871      $ 1,077        (19 %)    $ 2,768      $ 3,821        (28 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Components of Pretax Annuity Core Operating Earnings

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
     Pct.
Change
    Nine months ended
September 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2020      2019            2020     2019        

Revenues:

              

Net investment income

   $ 418      $ 421        (1 %)    $ 1,267     $ 1,247       2

Other income

     35        31        13     100       89       12
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total revenues

     453        452        —         1,367       1,336       2

Costs and Expenses:

              

Annuity benefits

     282        280        1     843       822       3

Acquisition expenses

     58        62        (6 %)      180       184       (2 %) 

Other expenses

     32        35        (9 %)      100       105       (5 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total costs and expenses

     372        377        (1 %)      1,123       1,111       1
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Annuity core operating earnings before items below

     81        75        8     244       225       8

Amounts previously reported as core

     —          —          nm       —         (11     nm  

Alternative investments

              

Marked to market, net of DAC

     40        25        nm       (14     80       nm  
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Pretax Annuity Core Operating Earnings

   $ 121      $ 100        21   $ 230     $ 294       (22 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Annuity Information

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2020     2019     2020     2019  

Core net interest spread before alternative investments

     1.51     1.65     1.57     1.68

Net Interest Spread

     1.96     1.93     1.58     1.99

Net spread earned before alternative investments

     0.80     0.80     0.81     0.79

Net spread earned

     1.19     1.06     0.76     1.08

 

*

Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

Further details may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

 

Page 14


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a)

Components of core net operating earnings (dollars in millions):

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2020      2019      2020      2019  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

           

P&C insurance segment

   $ 205      $ 194      $ 502      $ 554  

Annuity segment

     121        100        230        305  

Annuity results previously reported as operating earnings

     —          —          —          (11

Interest and other corporate expenses

     (52      (39      (132      (124
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     274        255        600        724  

Related income taxes

     57        50        117        143  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 217      $ 205      $ 483      $ 581  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

b)

Reflects the following effects of special A&E charges during the third quarter and first nine months of 2020 and 2019 (dollars in millions, except per share amounts):

 

     Pretax      After-tax      EPS  
A&E Charges:    2020      2019      2020      2019      2020      2019  

P&C insurance run-off operations

                 

Asbestos

   $ 26      $ 3      $ 21      $ 2        

Environmental

     21        15        16        12        
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

       
   $ 47      $ 18      $ 37      $ 14      $ 0.42      $ 0.15  

Former railroad & manufacturing operations

                 

Asbestos

   $ —        $ 3      $ —        $ 2        

Environmental

     21        8        17        7        
   $ 21      $ 11      $ 17      $ 9      $ 0.19      $ 0.10  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total A&E

   $ 68      $ 29      $ 54      $ 23      $ 0.61      $ 0.25  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

c)

Shareholders’ Equity at September 30, 2020 includes $1.21 billion ($13.88 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $41 million ($0.48 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. Shareholders’ Equity at December 31, 2019 includes $862 million ($9.54 per share) in unrealized after-tax, after DAC gains on fixed maturities and $17 million ($0.19 per share) in unrealized after-tax, after DAC gains on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges.

 

d)

Supplemental Notes:

 

   

Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other commercial property coverages.

 

   

Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

   

Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including equipment leasing and collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

   

Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 15

EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO   

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

   Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2020
  

 

October 28, 2020

  

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Corporate Headquarters

Great American Insurance Group Tower

301 E Fourth Street

Cincinnati, OH 45202

513 579 6739


American Financial Group, Inc.

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2020

   LOGO

 

Section

  

Page

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2020

   2

Financial Highlights

   3

Summary of Earnings

   4

Earnings Per Share Summary

   5

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

   6

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

   7

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

   8

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

   9

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

   10

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

   11

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings

   12a

Annuity Earnings - Alternative View

   12b

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense

   13

Core Net Spread on Fixed Annuities

   14

Statutory Annuity Premiums

   15

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

   16

Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate Analysis

   17

Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses)

   18

Reconciliation from Core to GAAP Annuity Pretax Earnings

   19

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

   20

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

   21

Capitalization

   22

Additional Supplemental Information

   23

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments

   24

Net Investment Income

   25

Insurance Companies’ Alternative Investments

   26

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

   27

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

   28

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

   29

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

   30

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

   31

Appendix

  

A.

 

Components of Core Operating Earnings As Reported

   32

B.

 

Fixed Maturities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Type 9/30/2020

   33

C.

 

Fixed Maturities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Type 12/31/2019

   34

D.

 

Corporate Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Industry 9/30/2020

   35

E.

 

Corporate Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Industry 12/31/2019

   36

F.

 

Asset-Backed Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Collateral Type 9/30/2020

   37

G.

 

Asset-Backed Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Collateral Type 12/31/2019

   38

H.

 

Real Estate-Related Investments 9/30/2020

   39

I.

 

Real Estate-Related Investments 12/31/2019

   40

 

Page 2


American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Highlights

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Highlights

              

Net earnings (loss)

   $ 164     $ 177     $ (301   $ 211     $ 147     $ 40     $ 686  

Core net operating earnings

     217       95       171       203       205       483       581  

Core net operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

     163       139       178       173       166       480       474  

Total assets

     73,110       70,867       67,643       70,130       69,067       73,110       69,067  

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

     5,087       5,049       4,987       5,390       5,376       5,087       5,376  

Property and Casualty net written premiums

     1,488       1,123       1,165       1,313       1,618       3,776       4,029  

Gross Annuity statutory premiums

     871       687       1,210       1,139       1,077       2,768       3,821  

Net Annuity statutory premiums

     703       609       1,210       1,139       1,077       2,522       3,821  

Per share data

              

Diluted earnings (loss) per share

   $ 1.86     $ 1.97     $ (3.34   $ 2.31     $ 1.62     $ 0.45     $ 7.55  

Core net operating earnings per share

     2.45       1.05       1.88       2.22       2.25       5.37       6.39  

Core net operating earnings per share before alternative investments marked to market

     1.84       1.53       1.96       1.90       1.82       5.34       5.21  

Adjusted book value per share (a)

     58.29       56.95       55.52       59.70       59.65       58.29       59.65  

Cash dividends per common share

     0.4500       0.4500       0.4500       2.2500       0.4000       1.3500       2.7000  

Financial ratios

              

Annualized return on equity (b)

     12.9     14.1     (23.1 %)      15.6     11.0     1.0     17.6

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

     17.1     7.5     13.2     15.0     15.3     12.5     14.9

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

              

Loss & LAE ratio

     63.8     62.6     58.5     63.2     63.1     61.8     60.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     28.3     32.6     33.7     30.3     30.9     31.4     32.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

     92.1     95.2     92.2     93.5     94.0     93.2     93.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities - before alternative investments marked to market

     1.51     1.60     1.59     1.71     1.65     1.57     1.68

Alternative investments marked to market

     0.45     (0.36 %)      (0.06 %)      0.23     0.28     0.01     0.31
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities - including alternative investments marked to market

     1.96     1.24     1.53     1.94     1.93     1.58     1.99
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities:

              

Core operating - before alternative investments marked to market

     0.80     0.80     0.81     0.87     0.80     0.81     0.79

Alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     0.39     (0.41 %)      (0.12 %)      0.20     0.26     (0.05 %)      0.29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core operating

     1.19     0.39     0.69     1.07     1.06     0.76     1.08
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 21.

(b)

Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income.

 

Page 3


American Financial Group, Inc.

Summary of Earnings

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Property and Casualty Insurance

              

Underwriting profit

   $ 103     $ 52     $ 88     $ 88     $ 72     $ 243     $ 218  

Net investment income

     111       72       99       120       124       282       352  

Other expense

     (9     (8     (6     (9     (2     (23     (16
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

     205       116       181       199       194       502       554  

Annuity operating earnings

     121       42       67       104       100       230       294  

Interest expense of parent holding companies

     (24     (23     (17     (18     (17     (64     (50

Other expense

     (28     (20     (20     (32     (22     (68     (74
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax core operating earnings

     274       115       211       253       255       600       724  

Income tax expense

     57       20       40       50       50       117       143  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

     217       95       171       203       205       483       581  

Non-core items, net of tax:

              

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     35       161       (435     51       (14     (239     176  

Annuity non-core earnings (losses)

     (34     (47     (30     19       (21     (111     (48

Special A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     (37     —         —         —         (14     (37     (14

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     (17     —         —         —         (9     (17     (9

Neon exited lines

     3       (32     (7     (58     —         (36     —    

Other non-core items

     (3     —         —         (4     —         (3     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings (loss)

   $ 164     $ 177     $ (301 )    $ 211     $ 147     $ 40     $ 686  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 4


American Financial Group, Inc.

Earnings Per Share Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Core net operating earnings

   $ 217     $ 95     $ 171     $ 203     $ 205     $ 483     $ 581  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings (loss)

   $ 164     $ 177     $ (301 )    $ 211     $ 147     $ 40     $ 686  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares - core

     88.546       89.997       91.138       91.274       91.137       89.889       90.940  

Average number of diluted shares - net

     88.546       89.997       90.295       91.274       91.137       89.889       90.940  

Diluted earnings per share:

              

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 2.45     $ 1.05     $ 1.88     $ 2.22     $ 2.25     $ 5.37     $ 6.39  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     0.40       1.80       (4.81     0.56       (0.15     (2.64     1.93  

Annuity non-core earnings (losses)

     (0.38     (0.52     (0.34     0.21       (0.23     (1.23     (0.52

Special A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     (0.42     —         —         —         (0.15     (0.42     (0.15

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     (0.19     —         —         —         (0.10     (0.19     (0.10

Neon exited lines

     0.03       (0.36     (0.07     (0.64     —         (0.41     —    

Other non-core items

     (0.03     —         —         (0.04     —         (0.03     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings (loss) per share

   $ 1.86     $ 1.97     $ (3.34 )    $ 2.31     $ 1.62     $ 0.45     $ 7.55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 5


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Casualty Insurance — Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Property and Transportation

   $ 47     $ 33     $ 27     $ (2   $ 38     $ 107     $ 81  

Specialty Casualty

     53       27       52       69       23       132       106  

Specialty Financial

     13       —         17       32       26       30       60  

Other Specialty

     (9     (6     (7     (10     1       (22     (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit — Specialty

     104       54       89       89       88       247       236  

Other core charges, included in loss and LAE

     (1     (2     (1     (1     (16     (4     (18
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit — Core

     103       52       88       88       72       243       218  

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

     (47     —         —         —         (18     (47     (18

Neon exited lines (a)

     (38     (43     (1     (76     —         (82     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss) —Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 18     $ 9     $ 87     $ 12     $ 54     $ 114     $ 200  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

COVID-19 related losses

   $ —       $ 105     $ 10     $ —       $ —       $ 115     $ —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ 5     $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ —       $ 5     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     52       26       9       14       22       87       46  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 57     $ 26     $ 9     $ 15     $ 22     $ 92     $ 46  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ —       $ (77   $ (42   $ (45   $ (12   $ (119   $ (98
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Property and Transportation

     91.9     91.7     92.9     100.4     93.5     92.1     93.8

Specialty Casualty

     90.7     94.9     90.7     89.7     96.5     92.1     94.5

Specialty Financial

     91.6     100.4     89.1     79.6     83.7     93.5     86.8

Other Specialty

     115.6     114.2     117.7     122.5     98.5     115.7     110.2

Combined ratio — Specialty

     92.1 %      95.2 %      92.2 %      93.5 %      94.0 %      93.2 %      93.8 % 

Other core charges

     0.1     0.2     0.1     0.1     1.1     0.1     0.5

Neon exited lines charge

     3.1     3.8     0.5     5.5     0.0     2.4     0.0

Special A&E charges

     3.5     0.0     0.0     0.0     1.2     1.3     0.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     98.8 %      99.2 %      92.8 %      99.1 %      96.3 %      97.0 %      94.7 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

P&C combined ratio excl. COVID-19 related losses,

catastrophe losses, and prior year loss reserve development

     95.0 %      94.8 %      94.6 %      101.4 %      95.5 %      94.8 %      96.1 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components — property and casualty insurance

              

Current accident year, excluding COVID-19 related and catastrophe losses

     66.0     60.7     60.3     68.9     64.6     62.5     63.2

COVID-19 related losses

     0.0     8.8     0.8     0.0     0.0     3.0     0.0

Current accident year catastrophe losses

     3.8     2.1     0.8     1.0     1.6     2.3     1.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     0.0     (6.5 %)      (3.4 %)      (3.3 %)      (0.8 %)      (3.1 %)      (2.6 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     69.8 %      65.1 %      58.5 %      66.6 %      65.4 %      64.7 %      61.8 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

AFG recorded $70 million in non-core losses related to the runoff of Neon in the third quarter of 2020, which included an estimated $30 million expected loss on the sale of the business. In conjunction with the sale, AFG recognized a tax benefit of $73 million, resulting in a net favorable $3 million ($0.03 per share) non-core, after-tax impact from Neon exited lines in the third quarter of 2020.

 

Page 6


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty — Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Gross written premiums

   $ 2,223     $ 1,539     $ 1,526     $ 1,749     $ 2,351     $ 5,288     $ 5,550  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (735     (416     (361     (436     (733     (1,512     (1,521
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     1,488       1,123       1,165       1,313       1,618       3,776       4,029  

Change in unearned premiums

     (149     —         (27     57       (176     (176     (214
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     1,339       1,123       1,138       1,370       1,442       3,600       3,815  

Loss and LAE

     855       703       666       865       910       2,224       2,323  

Underwriting expense

     380       366       383       416       444       1,129       1,256  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 104     $ 54     $ 89     $ 89     $ 88     $ 247     $ 236  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

COVID-19 related losses

   $ —       $ 85     $ 10     $ —       $ —       $ 95     $ —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ 5     $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ —       $ 5     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     36       26       9       14       22       71       46  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 41     $ 26     $ 9     $ 15     $ 22     $ 76     $ 46  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (48   $ (85   $ (48   $ (53   $ (46   $ (181   $ (134
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     63.8     62.6     58.5     63.2     63.1     61.8     60.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     28.3     32.6     33.7     30.3     30.9     31.4     32.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     92.1 %      95.2 %      92.2 %      93.5 %      94.0 %      93.2 %      93.8 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Specialty combined ratio excl. COVID-19 related losses, catastrophe losses, and prior year loss reserve development

     93.1 %      92.9 %      94.7 %      96.3 %      95.5 %      93.6 %      96.1 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding COVID-19 related and catastrophe losses

     64.8     60.3     61.0     66.0     64.6     62.2     63.2

COVID-19 related losses

     0.0     7.6     0.9     0.0     0.0     2.6     0.0

Current accident year catastrophe losses

     2.7     2.3     0.8     1.0     1.6     2.0     1.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (3.7 %)      (7.6 %)      (4.2 %)      (3.8 %)      (3.1 %)      (5.0 %)      (3.5 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     63.8 %      62.6 %      58.5 %      63.2 %      63.1 %      61.8 %      60.9 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 7


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Transportation — Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,061     $ 611     $ 494     $ 628     $ 1,113     $ 2,166     $ 2,131  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (426     (185     (108     (179     (452     (719     (704
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     635       426       386       449       661       1,447       1,427  

Change in unearned premiums

     (61     (36     —         56       (78     (97     (104
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     574       390       386       505       583       1,350       1,323  

Loss and LAE

     403       239       237       392       421       879       905  

Underwriting expense

     124       118       122       115       124       364       337  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 47     $ 33     $ 27     $ (2 )    $ 38     $ 107     $ 81  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

COVID-19 related losses

   $ 1     $ 3     $ 3     $ —       $ —       $ 7     $ —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     18       15       8       7       8       41       25  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 18     $ 15     $ 8     $ 7     $ 8     $ 41     $ 25  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (26   $ (28   $ (24   $ (18   $ (17   $ (78   $ (49
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     70.1     61.3     61.4     77.8     72.1     65.1     68.3

Underwriting expense ratio

     21.8     30.4     31.5     22.6     21.4     27.0     25.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     91.9 %      91.7 %      92.9 %      100.4 %      93.5 %      92.1 %      93.8 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. COVID-19 related losses, catastrophe losses, and prior year loss reserve development

     93.2     94.3     96.2     102.5     94.9     94.4     95.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding COVID-19 related and catastrophe losses

     71.4     63.9     64.7     79.9     73.5     67.4     70.1

COVID-19 related losses

     0.1     0.8     0.6     0.0     0.0     0.5     0.0

Current accident year catastrophe losses

     3.1     3.8     2.2     1.4     1.4     3.0     1.9

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (4.5 %)      (7.2 %)      (6.1 %)      (3.5 %)      (2.8 %)      (5.8 %)      (3.7 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     70.1 %      61.3 %      61.4 %      77.8 %      72.1 %      65.1 %      68.3 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 8


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Casualty — Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Gross written premiums

   $ 978     $ 752     $ 849     $ 929     $ 1,031     $ 2,579     $ 2,839  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (336     (241     (263     (260     (287     (840     (807
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     642       511       586       669       744       1,739       2,032  

Change in unearned premiums

     (82     36       (30     7       (86     (76     (111
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     560       547       556       676       658       1,663       1,921  

Loss and LAE

     352       367       340       402       416       1,059       1,184  

Underwriting expense

     155       153       164       205       219       472       631  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 53     $ 27     $ 52     $ 69     $ 23     $ 132     $ 106  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

COVID-19 related losses

     (1   $ 52     $ 7     $ —       $ —       $ 58     $ —    

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ 5     $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ —       $ 5     $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     3       6       —         5       10       9       12  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 8     $ 6     $ —       $ 6     $ 10     $ 14     $ 12  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (16   $ (51   $ (24   $ (25   $ (19   $ (91   $ (63
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     62.9     67.1     61.1     59.4     63.1     63.7     61.6

Underwriting expense ratio

     27.8     27.8     29.6     30.3     33.4     28.4     32.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     90.7 %      94.9 %      90.7 %      89.7 %      96.5 %      92.1 %      94.5 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. COVID-19 related losses, catastrophe losses, and prior year loss reserve development

     92.9     93.8     93.6     92.7     97.8     93.5     97.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding COVID-19 related and catastrophe losses

     65.1     66.0     64.0     62.4     64.4     65.1     64.2

COVID-19 related losses

     (0.1 %)      9.5     1.3     0.0     0.0     3.5     0.0

Current accident year catastrophe losses

     0.8     0.9     0.0     0.8     1.6     0.6     0.6

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (2.9 %)      (9.3 %)      (4.2 %)      (3.8 %)      (2.9 %)      (5.5 %)      (3.2 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     62.9 %      67.1 %      61.1 %      59.4 %      63.1 %      63.7 %      61.6 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 9


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Financial — Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Gross written premiums

   $ 184     $ 176     $ 183     $ 192     $ 207     $ 543     $ 580  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (31     (37     (34     (36     (40     (102     (119
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     153       139       149       156       167       441       461  

Change in unearned premiums

     2       5       7       (4     (6     14       (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     155       144       156       152       161       455       458  

Loss and LAE

     62       65       59       40       47       186       152  

Underwriting expense

     80       79       80       80       88       239       246  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 13     $ —       $ 17     $ 32     $ 26     $ 30     $ 60  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

COVID-19 related losses

   $ (1   $ 30     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 29     $ —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     13       5       1       2       3       19       8  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 13     $ 5     $ 1     $ 2     $ 3     $ 19     $ 8  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (9   $ (11   $ (2   $ (14   $ (9   $ (22   $ (24
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     39.9     44.9     38.0     26.1     29.7     40.8     33.3

Underwriting expense ratio

     51.7     55.5     51.1     53.5     54.0     52.7     53.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     91.6 %      100.4 %      89.1 %      79.6 %      83.7 %      93.5 %      86.8 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. COVID-19 related losses, catastrophe losses, and prior year loss reserve development

     89.5     83.7     89.5     87.7     87.2     87.6     90.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding COVID-19 related and catastrophe losses

     37.8     28.2     38.4     34.2     33.2     34.9     36.8

COVID-19 related losses

     (0.8 %)      21.1     0.1     0.0     0.0     6.4     0.0

Current accident year catastrophe losses

     8.6     3.6     0.6     1.1     2.0     4.3     1.8

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (5.7 %)      (8.0 %)      (1.1 %)      (9.2 %)      (5.5 %)      (4.8 %)      (5.3 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     39.9 %      44.9 %      38.0 %      26.1 %      29.7 %      40.8 %      33.3 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 10


American Financial Group, Inc.

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Gross written premiums

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     58       47       44       39       46       149       109  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     58       47       44       39       46       149       109  

Change in unearned premiums

     (8     (5     (4     (2     (6     (17     4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     50       42       40       37       40       132       113  

Loss and LAE

     38       32       30       31       26       100       82  

Underwriting expense

     21       16       17       16       13       54       42  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss)

   $ (9 )    $ (6 )    $ (7 )    $ (10 )    $ 1     $ (22 )    $ (11 ) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

COVID-19 related losses

   $ 1     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ —    

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     2       —         —         —         1       2       1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 2     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ 2     $ 1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 3     $ 5     $ 2     $ 4     $ (1   $ 10     $ 2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     78.6     76.9     73.9     83.5     64.0     76.6     72.7

Underwriting expense ratio

     37.0     37.3     43.8     39.0     34.5     39.1     37.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     115.6 %      114.2 %      117.7 %      122.5 %      98.5 %      115.7 %      110.2 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. COVID-19 related losses, catastrophe losses, and prior year loss reserve development

     107.8     100.3     113.4     113.4     99.0     107.0     107.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 11


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20      6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19      9/30/19      9/30/20     9/30/19  

Net investment income

   $ 418      $ 421     $ 428     $ 435      $ 421      $ 1,267     $ 1,247  

Alternative investments marked to market through core operating earnings

     46        (37     (6     23        27        3       87  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     18        17       17       17        17        52       50  

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income (a)

     17        13       18       13        14        48       39  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     499        414       457       488        479        1,370       1,423  

Annuity benefits (a)

     282        274       287       285        280        843       822  

Acquisition expenses

     64        62       71       65        64        197       191  

Other expenses

     32        36       32       34        35        100       105  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     378        372       390       384        379        1,140       1,118  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings

   $ 121      $ 42     $ 67     $ 104      $ 100      $ 230     $ 305  

Other amounts previously reported as core operating, net (b)

     n/a        n/a       n/a       n/a        n/a        n/a       (11
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - as reported

   $ 121      $ 42     $ 67     $ 104      $ 100      $ 230     $ 294  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Components of Pretax Annuity Core Operating Earnings

                 

Pretax annuity core operating earnings before items below

   $ 81      $ 84     $ 79     $ 84      $ 75      $ 244     $ 225  

Other amounts previously reported as core operating, net (b)

     n/a        n/a       n/a       n/a        n/a        n/a       (11
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax annuity core operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

     81        84       79       84        75        244       214  

Alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     40        (42     (12     20        25        (14     80  

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - as reported

   $  121      $ 42     $ 67     $  104      $  100      $ 230     $ 294  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Gains received on options in excess of index credits to policyholder are recorded through annuity benefits for GAAP. For the investor supplement presentation, these gains are shown in policy charges and other miscellaneous income.

(b)

“Other” primarily reflects (1) the impact of fair value accounting, (2) the impact of changes in the stock market on the liability for guaranteed benefits and DAC, and (3) unlocking.

 

Page 12a


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings - Alternative View

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20      6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19      9/30/19      9/30/20     9/30/19  

Net investment income (excluding alternative investments marked to market)

   $ 416      $ 418     $ 426     $ 433      $ 419      $ 1,260     $ 1,240  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     18        17       17       17        17        52       50  

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income (a)

     14        12       15       10        11        41       31  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     448        447       458       460        447        1,353       1,321  

Annuity benefits (a)

     281        273       285       284        278        839       817  

Acquisition expenses (excluding alternative investments marked to market)

     57        57       61       61        60        175       179  

Other expenses

     31        35       32       33        34        98       103  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     369        365       378       378        372        1,112       1,099  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings (excluding variable annuity earnings and alternative investments marked to market)

     79        82       80       82        75        241       222  

Variable annuity earnings

     2        2       (1     2        —          3       3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings (excluding alternative investments marked to market)

     81        84       79       84        75        244       225  

Alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     40        (42     (12     20        25        (14     80  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax annuity core operating earnings

     121        42       67       104        100        230       305  

Other amounts previously reported as core operating, net (b)

     n/a        n/a       n/a       n/a        n/a        n/a       (11
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - as reported

   $ 121      $ 42     $ 67     $ 104      $ 100      $ 230     $ 294  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Gains received on options in excess of index credits to policyholder are recorded through annuity benefits for GAAP. For the investor supplement presentation, these gains are shown in policy charges and other miscellaneous income.

(b)

“Other” primarily reflects (1) the impact of fair value accounting, (2) the impact of changes in the stock market on the liability for guaranteed benefits and DAC, and (3) unlocking.

 

Page 12b


American Financial Group, Inc.

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

              

Cost of funds:

              

Amortization of options (a)

   $ 148     $ 148     $ 150     $ 150     $ 149     $ 446     $ 436  

Traditional fixed annuities

     64       64       63       62       62       191       182  

Fixed component of fixed-indexed annuities

     26       26       25       25       24       77       69  

Immediate annuities

     5       6       6       6       6       17       18  

Pension risk transfer

     5       4       4       3       2       13       4  

Federal Home Loan Bank

     1       3       5       6       7       9       21  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total cost of funds

     249       251       253       252       250       753       730  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve

     26       17       25       24       21       68       60  

Amortization of sales inducements

     2       2       2       3       3       6       11  

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve and other

     5       4       7       6       6       16       21  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total other annuity benefits

     33       23       34       33       30       90       92  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 282     $ 274     $ 287     $ 285     $ 280     $ 843     $ 822  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

(a)   Amortization of options, net of DAC and reserve offsets:

              

Amortization of options

   $ 148     $ 148     $ 150     $ 150     $ 149     $ 446     $ 436  

DAC and reserve offsets

     (76     (77     (77     (77     (74     (230     (220
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Amortization of options, net of DAC and reserve offsets

   $ 72     $ 71     $ 73     $ 73     $ 75     $ 216     $ 216  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 13


American Financial Group, Inc.

Core Net Spread on Fixed Annuities

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) (a)

   $ 40,859     $ 40,570     $ 40,073     $ 39,316     $ 38,650     $ 40,501     $ 37,849  

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     41,158       40,601       40,139       39,615       38,946       40,633       38,075  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments (a)

   $ (299   $ (31   $ (66   $ (299   $ (296   $ (132   $ (226
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (excluding alternative investments marked to market) (as % of investments)

     4.07     4.13     4.25     4.40     4.34     4.15     4.37

Cost of funds

     (2.42 %)      (2.47 %)      (2.52 %)      (2.54 %)      (2.57 %)      (2.47 %)      (2.56 %) 

Other annuity benefits, net of guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     (0.14 %)      (0.06 %)      (0.14 %)      (0.15 %)      (0.12 %)      (0.11 %)      (0.13 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net interest spread on fixed annuities

     1.51 %      1.60 %      1.59 %      1.71 %      1.65 %      1.57 %      1.68 % 

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.14     0.11     0.15     0.11     0.12     0.13     0.11

Acquisition expenses (excluding alternative investments marked to market)

     (0.55 %)      (0.56 %)      (0.61 %)      (0.62 %)      (0.63 %)      (0.57 %)      (0.64 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.30 %)      (0.35 %)      (0.32 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.34 %)      (0.32 %)      (0.36 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net spread earned on fixed annuities (excluding alternative investments marked to market)

     0.80 %      0.80 %      0.81 %      0.87 %      0.80 %      0.81 %      0.79 % 

Alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     0.39 %      (0.41 %)      (0.12 %)      0.20 %      0.26 %      (0.05 %)      0.29 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.19 %      0.39 %      0.69 %      1.07 %      1.06 %      0.76 %      1.08 % 

Net spread earned on items previously reported as core operating

     n/a       n/a       n/a       n/a       n/a       n/a       (0.04 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net spread earned on fixed annuities - as reported

     1.19 %      0.39 %      0.69 %      1.07 %      1.06 %      0.76 %      1.04 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 41,158     $ 40,601     $ 40,139     $ 39,615     $ 38,946     $ 40,633     $ 38,075  

Net spread earned on fixed annuities (excluding alternative investments marked to market) - core

     0.80     0.80     0.81     0.87     0.80     0.81     0.79
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated - core

   $ 82     $ 82     $ 81     $ 85     $ 78     $ 245     $ 229  

Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments

   $ (299   $ (31   $ (66   $ (299   $ (296   $ (132   $ (226

Net investment income (excluding alternative investments marked to market) (as % of investments)

     4.07     4.13     4.25     4.40     4.34     4.15     4.37
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings/(loss) on annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments

   $ (3 )    $ —       $ (1 )    $ (3 )    $ (3 )    $ (4 )    $ (7 ) 

Variable annuity earnings

     2       2       (1 )      2       —         3       3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings (excluding alternative investments marked to market)

     81       84       79       84       75       244       225  

Alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     40       (42 )      (12 )      20       25       (14 )      80  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings

     121       42       67       104       100       230       305  

Other amounts previously reported as core operating, net

     n/a       n/a       n/a       n/a       n/a       n/a       (11 ) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - as reported

   $ 121     $ 42     $ 67     $ 104     $ 100     $ 230     $ 294  

 

(a)

Excludes non-investment assets such as deferred acquisition costs, FIA options, accrued investment income and company owned life insurance.

 

Page 14


American Financial Group, Inc.

Statutory Annuity Premiums

($ in millions)

      LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20      12/31/19      9/30/19      9/30/20     9/30/19  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 332     $ 258     $ 424      $ 359      $ 325      $ 1,014     $ 1,178  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     141       98       287        270        302        526       959  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

     134       138       172        170        198        444       773  

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     17       31       25        25        30        73       95  

Broker dealer single premium annuities - indexed

     109       100       138        107        134        347       550  

Broker dealer single premium annuities - fixed

     3       2       17        9        9        22       23  

Pension risk transfer (PRT)

     99       23       103        158        39        225       99  

Education market - fixed and indexed annuities

     33       32       39        36        35        104       128  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     868       682       1,205        1,134        1,072        2,755       3,805  

Variable annuities

     3       5       5        5        5        13       16  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total gross annuity premiums

   $ 871     $ 687     $ 1,210      $ 1,139      $ 1,077      $ 2,768     $ 3,821  

Less: Reinsurance

     (168     (78     —          —          —          (246     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net annuity premiums

   $ 703     $ 609     $ 1,210      $ 1,139      $ 1,077      $ 2,522     $ 3,821  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Summary by Distribution Channel:

                 

Financial institutions

   $ 473     $ 356     $ 711      $ 629      $ 627      $ 1,540     $ 2,137  

Retail

     151       169       197        195        228        517       868  

Broker dealer

     112       102       155        116        143        369       573  

Other

     135       60       147        199        79        342       243  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total gross annuity premiums

   $ 871     $ 687     $ 1,210      $ 1,139      $ 1,077      $ 2,768     $ 3,821  

Less: Reinsurance

     (168     (78     —          —          —          (246     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net annuity premiums

   $ 703     $ 609     $ 1,210      $ 1,139      $ 1,077      $ 2,522     $ 3,821  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Summary by Product Type:

                 

Total indexed

   $ 591     $ 512     $ 753      $ 655      $ 675      $ 1,856     $ 2,572  

Total fixed

     277       170       452        479        397        899       1,233  

Variable

     3       5       5        5        5        13       16  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total gross annuity premiums

   $ 871     $ 687     $ 1,210      $ 1,139      $ 1,077      $ 2,768     $ 3,821  

Less: Reinsurance

     (168     (78     —          —          —          (246     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net annuity premiums

   $ 703     $ 609     $ 1,210      $ 1,139      $ 1,077      $ 2,522     $ 3,821  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 15


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

($ in millions)

      LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 40,942     $ 40,260     $ 40,018     $ 39,212     $ 38,680     $ 40,018     $ 36,431  

Premiums

     868       682       1,205       1,134       1,072       2,755       3,805  

Federal Home Loan Bank (“FHLB”) advances (paydowns)

     —         (40     200       —         —         160       —    

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (844     (768     (794     (829     (808     (2,406     (2,431

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Cost of funds

     249       251       253       252       250       753       730  

Embedded derivative marked to market

     245       601       (647     276       111       199       824  

Unlockings

     (73     —         —         —         (75     (73     (75

Other

     (13     (44     25       (27     (18     (32     (72
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 41,374     $ 40,942     $ 40,260     $ 40,018     $ 39,212     $ 41,374     $ 39,212  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 41,374     $ 40,942     $ 40,260     $ 40,018     $ 39,212     $ 41,374     $ 39,212  

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     394       285       38       225       269       394       269  

Fixed component of variable annuities

     164       165       165       163       170       164       170  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 41,932     $ 41,392     $ 40,463     $ 40,406     $ 39,651     $ 41,932     $ 39,651  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     8.3     7.6     7.9     8.5     8.4     8.0     8.9

Rider reserves included in ending fixed annuity reserves above

   $ 801     $ 680     $ 690     $ 625     $ 611     $ 801     $ 611  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Embedded Derivative liability included in ending fixed annuity reserves above

   $ 3,657     $ 3,675     $ 3,099     $ 3,730     $ 3,469     $ 3,657     $ 3,469  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 16


American Financial Group, Inc.

Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate (“GMIR”) Analysis

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

GMIR (a)    Pro Forma
9/30/20 (e)
    9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     6/30/19  

1 - 1.99%

     85     85     85     84     84     84     83

2 - 2.99%

     3     3     3     3     3     3     4

3 - 3.99%

     7     6     6     7     7     7     7

4.00% and above

     5     6     6     6     6     6     6

Annuity Benefits Accumulated

   $ 41,932     $ 41,932     $ 41,392     $ 40,463     $ 40,406     $ 39,651     $ 39,044  

Traditional Fixed and FIA Surrender Value (b) (c)

   $ 25,853     $ 31,853     $ 31,619     $ 30,934     $ 30,921     $ 30,292     $ 29,891  

Ability to Lower Average Crediting Rates by (b) (d)

     1.08     1.10     1.14     1.18     1.19     1.20     1.20

Pretax earnings impact of crediting guaranteed minimums (b) (assumes net DAC impact over time = $0)

   $ 280     $ 350     $ 360     $ 365     $ 368     $ 363     $ 359  

 

(a)

Excludes Federal Home Loan Bank (“FHLB”) advances, immediate reserves and certain other reserves.

(b)

Excludes Annuities with Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits, FHLB advances, immediate reserves and certain other reserves.

(c)

FIA and VIA Surrender Value include Host + Embedded Derivatives + Fixed Account values.

(d)

Weighted Average Crediting Rate less GMIR

(e)

Projected results if Block Reinsurance transaction took effect on 9/30/20

 

Page 17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses)

($ in millions)

      LOGO

 

    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses):

             

Stock market impact on:

             

Liability for guaranteed benefits (a)

  $ 14     $ 22     $ (33   $ 12     $ 2     $ 3     $ 22  

DAC and sales inducements (b)

    3       7       (10     4       1       —         7  

Fair Value (FV) accounting

    2       9       (21     8       1       (10     15  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of changes in stock market

    19       38       (64     24       4       (7     44  

Impact of changes in interest rates on FV accounting

    (17     (100     29       (4     (30     (88     (113

Other FIA items

    1       3       (3     4       —         1       (1

Unlockings

    (46     —         —         —         (1     (46     (1
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses)

  $ (43   $ (59   $ (38   $ 24     $ (27   $ (140   $ (71
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
                Q1 Core = ($11)  

Reported as

    Non-core       Non-core       Non-core       Non-core       Non-core       Non-core      
Q2/Q3 Non-core =
($60)
 
 

Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses), net of taxes

  $ (34   $ (47   $ (30   $ 19     $ (21   $ (111   $ 48  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity Non-Core Net Spread Earned:

             

Stock market impact on:

             

Liability for guaranteed benefits (a)

    0.14     0.22     (0.33 %)      0.12     0.02     0.01     0.08

DAC and sales inducements (b)

    0.03     0.07     (0.10 %)      0.04     0.01     0.00     0.02

Fair Value (FV) accounting

    0.02     0.09     (0.21 %)      0.08     0.01     (0.03 %)      0.05
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of changes in stock market

    0.19     0.38     (0.64 %)      0.24     0.04     (0.02 %)      0.15

Impact of changes in interest rates on FV accounting

    (0.16 %)      (0.99 %)      0.29     (0.04 %)      (0.31 %)      (0.29 %)      (0.40 %) 

Other FIA items

    0.01     0.03     (0.03 %)      0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00

Unlockings

    (0.45 %)      0.00     0.00     0.00     (0.01 %)      (0.15 %)      0.00
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Non-core net spread earned on fixed annuities

    (0.41 %)      (0.58 %)      (0.38 %)      0.24     (0.28 %)      (0.46 %)      (0.25 %) 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
                Q1 Core = (.04%)  

Reported as

    Non-core       Non-core       Non-core       Non-core       Non-core       Non-core      
Q2/Q3 Non-core =
(.21%)
 
 

 

(a)

Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on AFG’s liability for fixed-indexed annuities with guaranteed benefits. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact.

(b)

Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on the current and projected lifetime profitability of AFG’s annuity business. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact.

 

S&P 500

     3,363       3,100       2,585       3,231       2,977       3,363       2,977  

Average 5 and 15 year Corp A2 rates

     1.83     1.95     3.01     2.74     2.71     1.83     2.71

Non-core earnings sensitivities:

              

Incremental +/- 1% change in S&P 500

        
~ +/- $0mm to
$2mm
 
 
       

Incremental +/- 10bps change in interest rates
(Assumes parallel shift in rates (primarily Corporate A2 rates))

        
~ +/-
$6mm to $8mm
 
 
       

 

 

Page 18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Reconciliation from Core to GAAP Annuity Pretax Earnings

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Annuity Earnings

              

Core annuity operating earnings - as reported (see page 12a)

   $ 121     $ 42     $ 67     $ 104     $ 100     $ 230     $ 294  

Annuity non-core earnings (losses)

     (43     (59     (38     24       (27     (140     (60
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes - GAAP

   $ 78     $ (17   $ 29     $ 128     $ 73     $ 90     $ 234  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Policy Charges and Other Miscellaneous Income

              

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income (see page 12a)

   $ 17     $ 13     $ 18     $ 13     $ 14     $ 48     $ 39  

Annuity non-core policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     (5     —         —         —         1       (5     1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Policy Charges and Other Miscellaneous Income - GAAP

   $ 12     $ 13     $ 18     $ 13     $ 15     $ 43     $ 40  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity Benefit Expense

              

Annuity benefits expense (see page 13)

   $ 282     $ 274     $ 287     $ 285     $ 280     $ 843     $ 822  

Annuity non-core annuity benefits

     (69     157       (3     (30     (26     85       86  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity Benefit Expense - GAAP

   $ 213     $ 431     $ 284     $ 255     $ 254     $ 928     $ 908  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Acquisition Expenses

              

Acquisition expenses (see page 12a)

   $ 64     $ 62     $ 71     $ 65     $ 64     $ 197     $ 191  

Annuity non-core acquisition expenses

     107       (98     41       6       54       50       (14
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Acquisition Expenses - GAAP

   $ 171     $ (36   $ 112     $ 71     $ 118     $ 247     $ 177  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities

              

Core net spread earned on fixed annuities - as reported (see page 14)

     1.19     0.39     0.69     1.07     1.06     0.76     1.04

Non-core net spread earned on fixed annuities

     (0.41 %)      (0.58 %)      (0.38 %)      0.24     (0.28 %)      (0.46 %)      (0.21 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities

     0.78     (0.19 %)      0.31     1.31     0.78     0.30     0.83
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 19


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     6/30/19  

Assets:

            

Total cash and investments

   $ 58,087     $ 56,741     $ 53,221     $ 55,252     $ 54,207     $ 52,907  

Recoverables from reinsurers

     3,819       3,476       3,387       3,415       3,261       3,150  

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     862       733       708       678       781       651  

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

     1,384       1,366       1,302       1,335       1,403       1,398  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     497       818       1,573       1,037       964       1,203  

Assets of managed investment entities

     4,717       4,393       4,026       4,736       4,702       4,781  

Other receivables

     1,185       880       981       975       1,187       999  

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

     603       577       497       628       601       616  

Other assets

     1,749       1,676       1,741       1,867       1,754       1,785  

Goodwill

     207       207       207       207       207       207  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 73,110     $ 70,867     $ 67,643     $ 70,130     $ 69,067     $ 67,697  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

            

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 10,754     $ 10,321     $ 10,106     $ 10,232     $ 9,847     $ 9,577  

Unearned premiums

     3,015       2,778       2,808       2,830       2,986       2,683  

Annuity benefits accumulated

     41,932       41,392       40,463       40,406       39,651       39,044  

Life, accident and health reserves

     609       606       607       612       613       619  

Payable to reinsurers

     977       746       779       814       867       755  

Liabilities of managed investment entities

     4,541       4,236       3,865       4,571       4,523       4,590  

Long-term debt

     2,108       1,912       1,473       1,473       1,423       1,423  

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

     603       577       497       628       601       616  

Other liabilities

     2,231       2,173       1,998       2,295       2,235       2,300  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities

   $ 66,770     $ 64,741     $ 62,596     $ 63,861     $ 62,746     $ 61,607  

Shareholders’ equity:

            

Common stock

   $ 87     $ 89     $ 90     $ 90     $ 90     $ 90  

Capital surplus

     1,283       1,299       1,309       1,307       1,292       1,277  

Retained earnings

     3,737       3,685       3,616       4,009       4,022       3,914  

Unrealized gains — fixed maturities

     1,212       1,030       16       862       920       812  

Unrealized gains (losses) — fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges

     41       47       44       17       25       18  

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

     (20     (24     (28     (16     (28     (21
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

     6,340       6,126       5,047       6,269       6,321       6,090  

Noncontrolling interests

     —         —         —         —         —         —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 73,110     $ 70,867     $ 67,643     $ 70,130     $ 69,067     $ 67,697  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 20


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     6/30/19  

Shareholders’ equity

   $ 6,340     $ 6,126     $ 5,047     $ 6,269     $ 6,321     $ 6,090  

Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturities

     (1,253     (1,077     (60     (879     (945     (830
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

     5,087       5,049       4,987       5,390       5,376       5,260  

Goodwill

     (207     (207     (207     (207     (207     (207

Intangibles

     (34     (37     (40     (43     (45     (48
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,846     $ 4,805     $ 4,740     $ 5,140     $ 5,124     $ 5,005  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

     87.267       88.659       89.827       90.304       90.127       89.918  

Book value per share:

            

Book value per share

   $ 72.65     $ 69.10     $ 56.18     $ 69.43     $ 70.14     $ 67.72  

Adjusted (a)

     58.29       56.95       55.52       59.70       59.65       58.49  

Tangible, adjusted (b)

     55.53       54.20       52.77       56.93       56.84       55.65  

Market capitalization

            

AFG’s closing common share price

   $ 66.98     $ 63.46     $ 70.08     $  109.65     $  107.85     $  102.47  

Market capitalization

   $ 5,845     $ 5,626     $ 6,295     $ 9,902     $ 9,720     $ 9,214  

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

     1.15       1.11       1.26       1.84       1.81       1.75  

 

(a)

Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.

(b)

Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.

 

Page 21


American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     6/30/19  

AFG senior obligations

   $ 1,318     $ 1,318     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018  

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

     —         —         —         —         —         —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt

   $ 1,318     $ 1,318     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018  

AFG subordinated debentures

     825       625       475       475       425       425  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total principal amount of long-term debt

   $ 2,143     $ 1,943     $ 1,493     $ 1,493     $ 1,443     $ 1,443  

Shareholders’ equity

     6,340       6,126       5,047       6,269       6,321       6,090  

Noncontrolling interests (including redeemable NCI)

     —         —         —         —         —         —    

Less:

            

Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturity investments

     (1,253     (1,077     (60     (879     (945     (830
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

   $ 7,230     $ 6,992     $ 6,480     $ 6,883     $ 6,819     $ 6,703  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

            

Including subordinated debt

     29.6 %      27.8 %      23.0 %      21.7 %      21.2 %      21.5 % 

Excluding subordinated debt

     18.2 %      18.9 %      15.7 %      14.8 %      14.9 %      15.2 % 

 

Page 22


American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20      6/30/20      3/31/20      12/31/19      9/30/19      9/30/20      9/30/19  

Property and Casualty Insurance

                    

Paid Losses (GAAP)

   $ 646      $ 601      $ 751      $ 727      $ 769      $ 1,998      $ 2,139  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     6/30/19  

GAAP Equity (excluding AOCI)

            

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 4,154     $ 3,945     $ 3,800     $ 4,043     $ 4,094     $ 3,959  

Annuity

     2,659       2,579       2,512       2,715       2,613       2,612  

Parent and other subsidiaries

     (1,706     (1,451     (1,297     (1,352     (1,303     (1,290
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

AFG GAAP Equity (excluding AOCI)

   $ 5,107     $ 5,073     $ 5,015     $ 5,406     $ 5,404     $ 5,281  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

            

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 565     $ 565     $ 565     $ 565     $ 529     $ 529  

Annuity and Run-off

     287       287       287       287       768       768  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 852     $ 852     $ 852     $ 852     $ 1,297     $ 1,297  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 23


American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Carrying Value - September 30, 2020  
     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
     Annuity and
Run-off
     Parent and
Other Non-
Insurance
     Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
     % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 1,692      $ 1,462      $ 593      $ —       $ 3,747        7

Fixed maturities — Available for sale

     8,761        39,424        8        —         48,193        83

Fixed maturities — Trading

     47        45        —          —         92        0

Equity securities — common stocks

     410        401        63        —         874        2

Equity securities — perpetual preferred

     377        355        —          —         732        1

Investments accounted for using the equity method

     778        1,063        —          —         1,841        3

Mortgage loans

     325        1,157        —          —         1,482        3

Policy loans

     —          154        —          —         154        0

Equity index call options

     —          697        —          —         697        1

Real estate and other investments

     117        281        52        (175     275        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 12,507      $ 45,039      $ 716      $ (175 )    $ 58,087        100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

     Carrying Value - December 31, 2019  
     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
     Annuity and
Run-off
     Parent and
Other Non-
Insurance
     Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
     % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 1,387      $ 746      $ 181      $ —       $ 2,314        4

Fixed maturities — Available for sale

     8,596        37,899        10        —         46,505        84

Fixed maturities — Trading

     59        54        —          —         113        0

Equity securities — common stocks

     664        553        66        —         1,283        3

Equity securities — perpetual preferred

     397        257        —          —         654        1

Investments accounted for using the equity method

     703        985        —          —         1,688        3

Mortgage loans

     262        1,067        —          —         1,329        2

Policy loans

     —          164        —          —         164        0

Equity index call options

     —          924        —          —         924        2

Real estate and other investments

     122        265        55        (164     278        1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 12,190      $ 42,914      $ 312      $ (164 )    $ 55,252        100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 24


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Investment Income

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 72     $ 75     $ 81     $ 79     $ 75     $ 228     $ 231  

Fixed maturities - Trading

     —         —         1       —         1       1       3  

Equity securities - dividends

     8       8       10       11       12       26       38  

Equity securities - MTM

     (3     2       3       (1     7       2       10  

Equity in investees

     27       (15     11       21       20       23       43  

AFG managed CLOs

     4       —         (11     (2     (2     (7     3  

Other investments (a)

     5       3       6       13       12       14       29  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     113       73       101       121       125       287       357  

Investment expenses

     (2     (1     (2     (1     (1     (5     (5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 111     $ 72     $ 99     $ 120     $ 124     $ 282     $ 352  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (b)

   $ 11,764     $ 11,454     $ 11,457     $ 11,744     $ 11,387     $ 11,611     $ 11,192  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (c)

     3.77 %      2.51 %      3.46 %      4.09 %      4.36 %      3.24 %      4.19 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 394     $ 402     $ 403     $ 406     $ 393     $ 1,199     $ 1,168  

Equity securities - dividends

     7       8       7       8       9       22       26  

Equity securities - MTM

     (2     —         5       4       7       3       13  

Equity in investees

     39       (39     14       24       23       14       66  

AFG managed CLOs

     9       2       (25     (5     (3     (14     8  

Other investments (a)

     19       14       19       23       21       52       58  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     466       387       423       460       450       1,276       1,339  

Investment expenses

     (4     (5     (3     (4     (4     (12     (12
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 462     $ 382     $ 420     $ 456     $ 446     $ 1,264     $ 1,327  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (b)

   $ 40,859     $ 40,570     $ 40,073     $ 39,316     $ 38,650     $ 40,501     $ 37,849  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (c)

     4.52 %      3.77 %      4.19 %      4.63 %      4.62 %      4.16 %      4.68 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

AFG consolidated net investment income:

              

Property & Casualty core

   $ 111     $ 72     $ 99     $ 120     $ 124     $ 282     $ 352  

Neon exited lines non-core

     1       —         (6     —         —         (5     —    

Annuity:

              

Fixed Annuity

     462       382       420       456       446       1,264       1,327  

Variable Annuity

     2       2       2       2       2       6       7  

Parent & other

     9       14       (7     8       11       16       35  

Consolidate CLOs

     (13     (2     36       7       5       21       (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 572     $ 468     $ 544     $ 593     $ 588     $ 1,584     $ 1,710  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Includes income from mortgage loans, real estate, policy loans, short-term investments, and cash equivalents.

(b)

Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances.

(c)

Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter.

 

Page 25


American Financial Group, Inc.

Insurance Companies' Alternative Investments

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

              

Net Investment Income

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ (3   $ 2     $ 3     $ (1   $ 7     $ 2     $ 10  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     27       (15     11       21       20       23       43  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     4       —         (11     (2     (2     (7     3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Property & Casualty

   $ 28     $ (13   $ 3     $ 18     $ 25     $ 18     $ 56  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 109     $ 95     $ 86     $ 71     $ 63     $ 109     $ 63  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     778       755       736       703       625       778       625  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     46       39       40       48       53       46       53  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Property & Casualty

   $ 933     $ 889     $ 862     $ 822     $ 741     $ 933     $ 741  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized Yield - Property & Casualty

     12.3     (5.9 %)      1.4     9.2     13.7     2.7     10.8

Fixed Annuity:

              

Net Investment Income

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ (2   $ —       $ 5     $ 4     $ 7     $ 3     $ 13  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     39       (39     14       24       23       14       66  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     9       2       (25     (5     (3     (14     8  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Fixed Annuity

   $ 46     $ (37   $ (6   $ 23     $ 27     $ 3     $ 87  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 186     $ 168     $ 160     $ 142     $ 120     $ 186     $ 120  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     1,063       1,026       1,027       985       910       1,063       910  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     129       118       120       116       125       129       125  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Fixed Annuity

   $  1,378     $  1,312     $  1,307     $  1,243     $  1,155     $  1,378     $  1,155  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized Yield - Fixed Annuity

     13.7     (11.3 %)      (1.9 %)      7.7     9.5     0.3     10.5

Combined:

              

Net Investment Income

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ (5   $ 2     $ 8     $ 3     $ 14     $ 5     $ 23  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     66       (54     25       45       43       37       109  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     13       2       (36     (7     (5     (21     11  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Combined

   $ 74     $ (50   $ (3   $ 41     $ 52     $ 21     $ 143  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 295     $ 263     $ 246     $ 213     $ 183     $ 295     $ 183  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     1,841       1,781       1,763       1,688       1,535       1,841       1,535  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     175       157       160       164       178       175       178  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Combined

   $ 2,311     $ 2,201     $ 2,169     $ 2,065     $ 1,896     $ 2,311     $ 1,896  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized Yield - Combined

     13.1     (9.2 %)      (0.6 %)      8.3     11.1     1.3     10.6

 

(a)

AFG carries the small portion of its equity securities previously classified as "trading" and investments in limited partnerships and similar investments that aren't accounted for using the equity method at fair value through net investment income.

(b)

The majority of AFG's investments accounted for using the equity method mark their underlying assets to market through net income.

 

Page 26


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

September 30, 2020

   Book Value (b)     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 213     $ 226      $ 13       0     0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,167       6,739        572       14     12

Foreign government

     225       233        8       0     0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,880       3,138        258       7     5

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     814       856        42       2     2

Collateralized loan obligations

     4,623       4,607        (16     10     8

Other asset-backed securities

     7,389       7,419        30       15     13

Corporate and other bonds

     23,024       25,067        2,043       52     43
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 45,335     $ 48,285      $ 2,950       100 %      83 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

           

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.16         

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.12         

Approximate average life and duration:

           

Approximate average life

     5.5 years           

Approximate duration

     4 years           

December 31, 2019

   Book Value     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 203     $ 213      $ 10       1     0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,628       6,987        359       15     12

Foreign government

     209       211        2       0     0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,901       3,161        260       7     6

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     896       927        31       2     2

Collateralized loan obligations

     4,307       4,280        (27     9     8

Other asset-backed securities

     6,992       7,128        136       15     13

Corporate and other bonds

     22,501       23,711        1,210       51     43
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 44,637     $ 46,618      $ 1,981       100 %      84 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

           

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.48         

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.44         

Approximate average life and duration:

           

Approximate average life

     5.5 years           

Approximate duration

     4 years           

 

(a)

Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

(b)

Book Value is amortized cost, net of allowance for expected credit losses.

 

Page 27


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     September 30, 2020     December 31, 2019  
Property and Casualty Insurance:    Book Value     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    Book Value     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 174     $ 181      $ 7       2   $ 165     $ 167      $ 2       2

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     2,312       2,426        114       27     2,524       2,614        90       30

Foreign government

     194       198        4       2     178       177        (1     2

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     889       943        54       11     990       1,051        61       12

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     85       88        3       1     89       92        3       1

Collateralized loan obligations

     960       954        (6     11     906       901        (5     11

Other asset-backed securities

     1,906       1,910        4       22     1,727       1,741        14       20

Corporate and other bonds

     2,034       2,108        74       24     1,861       1,912        51       22
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 8,554     $ 8,808      $ 254       100 %    $ 8,440     $ 8,655      $ 215       100 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

                  

Excluding investment expense (a)

     3.40            3.94       

Net of investment expense (a)

     3.34            3.90       

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

     3.49            4.05       

Approximate average life and duration:

                  

Approximate average life

     4 years              4.5 years         

Approximate duration

     3 years              3 years         
     September 30, 2020     December 31, 2019  
Annuity and Run-off:    Book Value     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    Book Value     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 39     $ 45      $ 6       0   $ 38     $ 46      $ 8       0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     3,855       4,313        458       11     4,104       4,373        269       12

Foreign government

     31       35        4       0     31       34        3       0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     1,990       2,187        197       6     1,909       2,100        191       6

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     729       768        39       2     807       835        28       2

Collateralized loan obligations

     3,663       3,653        (10     9     3,401       3,379        (22     9

Other asset-backed securities

     5,483       5,509        26       14     5,265       5,387        122       14

Corporate and other bonds

     20,990       22,959        1,969       58     20,640       21,799        1,159       57
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

   $ 36,780     $ 39,469      $ 2,689       100 %    $ 36,195     $ 37,953      $ 1,758       100 % 
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

                  

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.33            4.59       

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.29            4.55       

Approximate average life and duration:

                  

Approximate average life

     6 years              6 years         

Approximate duration

     4.5 years              4.5 years         

 

(a)

Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

(b)

Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

Page 28


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Matu

rities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     September 30, 2020  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Book V.alue      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

          

AAA

   $ 9,539      $ 9,819      $ 280       20

AA

     7,836        8,299        463       17

A

     9,431        10,227        796       21

BBB

     14,074        15,292        1,218       32
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal — Investment grade

     40,880        43,637        2,757       90

BB

     832        813        (19     2

B

     291        291        —         1

Other (b)

     3,332        3,544        212       7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal — Non-Investment grade

     4,455        4,648        193       10
          
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $  45,335      $  48,285      $  2,950       100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

97%

of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

     December 31, 2019  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Book Value      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

          

AAA

   $ 8,854      $ 9,010      $ 156       19

AA

     8,615        8,957        342       19

A

     10,456        10,983        527       24

BBB

     12,759        13,465        706       29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal — Investment grade

     40,684        42,415        1,731       91

BB

     714        724        10       2

B

     186        183        (3     0

Other (b)

     3,053        3,296        243       7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal — Non-Investment grade

     3,953        4,203        250       9
          
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 44,637      $ 46,618      $ 1,981       100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

98%

of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

See pages 33 and 34 for more information.

 

Page 29


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

September 30, 2020

   Book Value      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 485      $ 492      $ 7        12     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,301        1,412        111        36     2

Alt-A

     811        920        109        23     2

Subprime

     283        314        31        8     1

Commercial

     814        856        42        21     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 3,694      $ 3,994      $ 300        100 %      7 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

  -  

Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.

  -  

The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 88%; Alt-A 81%; Subprime 82%; CMBS 99%.

  -  

The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 746; Alt-A 692; Subprime 631.

  -  

93% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (81% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 37%.

  -  

The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 4 years; Commercial 3 years.

 

December 31, 2019

   Book Value      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 549      $ 552      $ 3        13     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,157        1,264        107        31     2

Alt-A

     897        1,015        118        25     2

Subprime

     298        330        32        8     1

Commercial

     896        927        31        23     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 3,797      $ 4,088      $ 291        100 %      8 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 30


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

   September 30, 2020  

By Asset Type

   Book Value      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 247      $ 251      $ 4        24     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     307        321        14        31     2

Alt-A

     226        252        26        24     2

Subprime

     109        119        10        12     1

Commercial

     85        88        3        9     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 974      $ 1,031      $ 57        100     8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

     December 31, 2019  

By Asset Type

   Book Value      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 315      $ 317      $ 2        28     3

Prime (Non-Agency)

     279        292        13        26     2

Alt-A

     265        299        34        26     2

Subprime

     131        143        12        12     1

Commercial

     89        92        3        8     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,079      $ 1,143      $ 64        100     9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off:

   September 30, 2020  

By Asset Type

   Book Value      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 238      $ 241      $ 3        8     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     993        1,083        90        37     2

Alt-A

     585        668        83        23     2

Subprime

     174        195        21        6     0

Commercial

     729        768        39        26     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 2,719      $ 2,955      $ 236        100     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

     December 31, 2019  

By Asset Type

   Book Value      Fair` Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 234      $ 235      $ 1        8     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     876        962        86        33     2

Alt-A

     632        716        84        25     2

Subprime

     167        187        20        6     0

Commercial

     807        835        28        28     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 2,716      $ 2,935      $ 219        100     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 31


 

Appendix A

American Financial Group, Inc.

Components of Core Operating Earnings As Reported )

($ in millions)

  

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     9/30/20     6/30/20     3/31/20     12/31/19     9/30/19     9/30/20     9/30/19  

Core operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

              

Property and Casualty Insurance core operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

   $ 177     $ 129     $ 178     $ 181     $ 169     $ 484     $ 498  

Annuity Pretax core operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

     81       84       79       84       75       244       214  

Interest expense of parent holding companies

     (24     (23     (17     (18     (17     (64     (50

Other expense

     (28     (20     (20     (32     (22     (68     (74
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

     206       170       220       215       205       596       588  

Income tax expense

     43       31       42       42       39       116       114  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market

   $ 163     $ 139     $ 178     $ 173     $ 166     $ 480     $ 474  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Alternative investments marked to market through core operating earnings, net of DAC

              

Property and Casualty Insurance alternative investments marked to market

   $ 28     $ (13   $ 3     $ 18     $ 25     $ 18     $ 56  

Annuity alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     40       (42     (12     20       25       (14     80  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core pre-tax alternative investments marked to market, net of DAC

     68       (55     (9     38       50       4       136  

Income tax expense

     14       (11     (2     8       11       1       29  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Alternative investments marked to market through core operating earnings, net of DAC

   $ 54     $ (44 )    $ (7 )    $ 30     $ 39     $ 3     $ 107  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core operating earnings as reported

              

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

   $ 205     $ 116     $ 181     $ 199     $ 194     $ 502     $ 554  

Annuity operating earnings

     121       42       67       104       100       230       294  

Interest expense of parent holding companies

     (24     (23     (17     (18     (17     (64     (50

Other expense

     (28     (20     (20     (32     (22     (68     (74
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings as reported

     274       115       211       253       255       600       724  

Income tax expense

     57       20       40       50       50       117       143  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings as reported

   $ 217     $ 95     $ 171     $ 203     $ 205     $ 483     $ 581  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     88.546       89.997       91.138       91.274       91.137       89.889       90.940  

Diluted core net operating earnings per share:

              

Core net operating earnings before alternative investments marked to market per share

   $ 1.84     $ 1.53     $ 1.96     $ 1.90     $ 1.82     $ 5.34     $ 5.21  

Core alternative investments marked to market through core operating earnings, net of DAC per share

     0.61       (0.48     (0.08     0.32       0.43       0.03       1.18  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings as reported per share

   $ 2.45     $ 1.05     $ 1.88     $ 2.22     $ 2.25     $ 5.37     $ 6.39  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 32


 

Appendix B

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Type

9/30/2020

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Fair Value by Type  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn Gov      RMBS      CMBS      CLOs      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                             

AAA

   $ 216      $ 1,967      $ 180      $ 1,231      $ 697      $ 3,385      $ 1,982      $ 161      $ 9,819        20

AA

     10        4,224        36        131        19        960        1,930        989        8,299        17

A

     —          391        1        316        6        202        1,611        7,700        10,227        21

BBB

     —          93        3        69        74        48        954        14,051        15,292        32
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     226        6,675        220        1,747        796        4,595        6,477        22,901        43,637        90

BB

     —          9        —          61        32        —          11        700        813        2

B

     —          —          —          106        —          —          28        157        291        1

CCC, CC, C

     —          —          —          501        5        —          3        37        546        1

D

     —          —          —          176        —          —          —          1        177        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     —          9        —          844        37        —          42        895        1,827        4

Not Rated (b)

     —          55        13        547        23        12        900        1,271        2,821        6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 226      $ 6,739      $ 233      $ 3,138      $ 856      $ 4,607      $ 7,419      $ 25,067      $ 48,285        100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Fair Value by type  

NAIC designation

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn gov      RMBS      CMBS      CLOs      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

1

   $ 209      $ 6,636      $ 195      $ 3,033      $ 808      $ 4,546      $ 6,460      $ 9,815      $ 31,702        68

2

     —          93        —          36        14        48        901        14,205        15,297        29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal

     209        6,729        195        3,069        822        4,594        7,361        24,020        46,999        97

3

     —          9        —          23        31        —          18        735        816        2

4

     —          —          —          11        —          —          28        217        256        1

5

     —          —          —          20        3        12        3        77        115        0

6

     16        —          —          5        —          —          5        10        36        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal

     16        9        —          59        34        12        54        1,039        1,223        3

No designation (c)

     1        1        38        10        —          1        4        8        63        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 226      $ 6,739      $ 233      $ 3,138      $ 856      $ 4,607      $ 7,419      $ 25,067      $ 48,285        100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

For ABS, 99% are NAIC 1.

For Corp/Oth, 83% are NAIC 1, 7% NAIC 2, 5% NAIC 3, 3% NAIC 4, 2% NAIC 5.

For Total, 90% are NAIC 1, 3% NAIC 2, 3% NAIC 3, 1% NAIC 4, 2% NAIC 5.

(c)

Primarily relates to securities held by non-insurance companies.

 

Page 33


 

Appendix C

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Type

12/31/2019

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Fair Value by Type  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn Gov      RMBS      CMBS      CLOs      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                             

AAA

   $ 204      $ 2,086      $ 134      $ 1,184      $ 773      $ 2,921      $ 1,529      $ 179      $ 9,010        19

AA

     9        4,325        52        131        20        1,074        1,779        1,567        8,957        19

A

     —          418        8        250        16        241        1,983        8,067        10,983        24

BBB

     —          95        3        115        78        27        742        12,405        13,465        29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     213        6,924        197        1,680        887        4,263        6,033        22,218        42,415        91

BB

     —          9        —          74        32        —          13        596        724        2

B

     —          —          1        97        5        —          4        76        183        0

CCC, CC, C

     —          —          —          544        3        —          4        42        593        1

D

     —          —          —          185        —          —          —          1        186        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     —          9        1        900        40        —          21        715        1,686        3

Not Rated (b)

     —          54        13        581        —          17        1,074        778        2,517        6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 213      $ 6,987      $ 211      $ 3,161      $ 927      $ 4,280      $ 7,128      $ 23,711      $ 46,618        100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Fair Value by Type  

NAIC designation

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn gov      RMBS      CMBS      CLOs      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

1

   $ 191      $ 6,875      $ 172      $ 3,030      $ 883      $ 4,232      $ 6,308      $ 10,310      $ 32,001        69

2

     —          95        —          29        9        26        770        12,518        13,447        29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal

     191        6,970        172        3,059        892        4,258        7,078        22,828        45,448        98

3

     —          9        —          29        32        —          13        601        684        2

4

     —          —          —          16        —          —          4        146        166        0

5

     —          —          —          21        3        18        4        92        138        0

6

     15        —          —          5        —          —          15        5        40        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal

     15        9        —          71        35        18        36        844        1,028        2

No designation (c)

     7        8        39        31        —          4        14        39        142        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 213      $ 6,987      $ 211      $ 3,161      $ 927      $ 4,280      $ 7,128      $ 23,711      $ 46,618        100 % 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

87% are NAIC 1, 4% NAIC 2, 2% NAIC 3, 3% NAIC 4, 3% NAIC 5 and 1% NAIC 6.

(c)

Primarily relates to securities held by non-insurance companies.

 

Page 34


 

Appendix D

American Financial Group, Inc.

Corporate Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Industry

9/30/2020

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    Fair Value By Industry  

Credit
Rating
(a)

  Banking     Insurance     Other
Financials
    Technology     Asset
Managers
    Energy     Healthcare     Consumer     REITs     Utilities     Capital
Goods
    Basic
Industry
    Media     Autos     Communications     Retailers     Restaurants,
Hospitality
& Leisure
    Aviation     Other     Total     %
Total
 

Investment
Grade

 

                                       

AAA

  $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 26     $ —       $ —       $ 21     $ 32     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 80     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 2     $ 161       1

AA

    87       130       99       113       78       179       91       110       —         —         1       —         —         —         —         23       18       —         60       989       4

A

    2,030       1,059       358       529       757       210       357       259       315       538       378       43       213       140       162       82       14       78       178       7,700       30

BBB

    3,387       1,172       795       1,027       775       1,005       893       570       657       384       448       659       423       500       334       274       224       178       346       14,051       56
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    5,504       2,361       1,252       1,695       1,610       1,394       1,362       971       972       922       827       702       636       640       576       379       256       256       586       22,901       91

BB

    41       23       30       67       10       142       56       69       36       9       31       30       3       45       3       52       36       16       1       700       3

B

    —         1       —         5       —         13       14       16       84       —         —         9       —         1       —         1       8       5       —         157       1

CCC, CC, C

    —         —         —         9       —         3       2       4       —         —         —         4       —         —         —         5       10       —         —         37       0

D

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         1       —         —         1       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    41       24       30       81       10       158       72       89       120       9       31       43       3       46       3       58       55       21       1       895       4

Not
Rated
(b)

    15       13       960       27       —         6       29       75       32       —         5       10       52       —         —         24       10       —         13       1,271       5
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 5,560     $ 2,398     $ 2,242     $ 1,803     $ 1,620     $ 1,558     $ 1,463     $ 1,135     $ 1,124     $ 931     $ 863     $ 755     $ 691     $ 686     $ 579     $ 461     $ 321     $ 277     $ 600     $ 25,067       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

    Fair Value By Industry  

NAIC
designation

  Banking     Insurance     Other
Financials
    Technology     Asset
Managers
    Energy     Healthcare     Consumer     REITs     Utilities     Capital
Goods
    Basic
Industry
    Media     Autos     Communications     Retailers     Restaurants,
Hospitality
& Leisure
    Aviation     Other     Total     %
Total
 

1

  $ 2,144     $ 1,196     $ 1,369     $ 684     $ 804     $ 366     $ 489     $ 434     $ 315     $ 538     $ 379     $ 44     $ 212     $ 140     $ 242     $ 128     $ 32     $ 78     $ 221     $ 9,815       39

2

    3,370       1,177       815       1,031       806       1,028       889       583       657       384       453       667       466       500       334       274       223       178       370       14,205       57
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    5,514       2,373       2,184       1,715       1,610       1,394       1,378       1,017       972       922       832       711       678       640       576       402       255       256       591       24,020       96

3

    46       14       29       62       10       142       54       74       68       9       30       29       4       46       3       52       46       16       1       735       3

4

    —         10       28       7       —         13       30       21       84       —         —         10       —         —         —         1       8       5       —         217       1

5

    —         1       —         18       —         3       1       23       —         —         1       5       9       —         —         6       10       —         —         77       0

6

    —         —         1       1       —         6       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         2       —         —         10       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    46       25       58       88       10       164       85       118       152       9       31       44       13       46       3       59       66       21       1       1,039       4

No
designation
(c)

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         8       8       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 5,560     $ 2,398     $ 2,242     $ 1,803     $ 1,620     $ 1,558     $ 1,463     $ 1,135     $ 1,124     $ 931     $ 863     $ 755     $ 691     $ 686     $ 579     $ 461     $ 321     $ 277     $ 600     $ 25,067       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

For Other Financials, 96% are NAIC 1 and 97% are NAIC 1 or 2.

For the Total, 83% are NAIC 1, 7% NAIC 2, 5% NAIC 3, 3% NAIC 4, 2% NAIC 5.

(c)

Primarily relates to securities held by non-insurance companies.

 

Page 35


Appendix E

American Financial Group, Inc.

Corporate Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Industry

12/31/2019

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    Fair Value By Industry  

Credit
Rating
(a)

  Banking     Insurance     Other
Financials
    Technology     Asset
Managers
    Energy     Healthcare     Consumer     REITs     Utilities     Capital
Goods
    Basic
Industry
    Media     Autos     Communications     Retailers     Restaurants,
Hospitality
& Leisure
    Aviation     Other     Total     %
Total
 

Investment Grade

 

                                       

AAA

  $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 48     $ —       $ —       $ 20     $ 29     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 78     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 4     $ 179       1

AA

    219       308       72       146       205       204       98       114       —         —         1       —         —         35       —         22       20       46       77       1,567       7

A

    2,482       921       326       471       775       260       425       258       352       450       333       44       112       278       176       89       18       166       131       8,067       34

BBB

    2,691       1,034       656       862       576       1,199       753       673       845       291       424       556       454       334       264       209       206       133       245       12,405       52
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    5,392       2,263       1,054       1,527       1,556       1,663       1,296       1,074       1,197       741       758       600       566       647       518       320       244       345       457       22,218       94

BB

    3       15       29       75       17       102       50       89       75       19       11       46       3       4       4       —         44       10       —         596       3

B

    —         1       —         4       —         —         18       22       —         —         —         16       5       —         —         —         10       —         —         76       0

CCC, CC, C

    —         —         1       9       —         1       —         2       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         12       17       —         —         42       0

D

    —         —         —         —         —         1       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         1       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    3       16       30       88       17       104       68       113       75       19       11       62       8       4       4       12       71       10       —         715       3

Not Rated (b)

    33       14       486       1       7       2       34       97       20       —         5       8       50       —         2       13       4       —         2       778       3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 5,428     $ 2,293     $ 1,570     $ 1,616     $ 1,580     $ 1,769     $ 1,398     $ 1,284     $ 1,292     $ 760     $ 774     $ 670     $ 624     $ 651     $ 524     $ 345     $ 319     $ 355     $ 459     $ 23,711       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

    Fair Value By Industry  

NAIC
designation

  Banking     Insurance     Other
Financials
    Technology     Asset
Managers
    Energy     Healthcare     Consumer     REITs     Utilities     Capital
Goods
    Basic
Industry
    Media     Autos     Communications     Retailers     Restaurants,
Hospitality
& Leisure
    Aviation     Other     Total     %
Total
 

1

  $ 2,712     $ 1,235     $ 842     $ 663     $ 950     $ 440     $ 562     $ 448     $ 349     $ 449     $ 330     $ 64     $ 112     $ 348     $ 253     $ 124     $ 22     $ 213     $ 194     $ 10,310       43

2

    2,712       1,031       675       862       606       1,222       767       688       859       291       428       552       454       298       263       209       224       129       248       12,518       53
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    5,424       2,266       1,517       1,525       1,556       1,662       1,329       1,136       1,208       740       758       616       566       646       516       333       246       342       442       22,828       96

3

    3       15       28       66       17       103       50       98       84       19       10       38       3       4       4       —         46       13       —         601       3

4

    —         11       13       6       —         —         16       27       —         —         —         16       47       —         —         —         10       —         —         146       1

5

    —         —         11       16       7       1       2       17       —         —         1       —         7       —         2       11       17       —         —         92       0

6

    —         —         —         1       —         3       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         1       —         —         —         5       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    3       26       52       89       24       107       68       142       84       19       11       54       57       4       6       12       73       13       —         844       4

No designation (c)

    1       1       1       2       —         —         1       6       —         1       5       —         1       1       2       —         —         —         17       39       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 5,428     $ 2,293     $ 1,570     $ 1,616     $ 1,580     $ 1,769     $ 1,398     $ 1,284     $ 1,292     $ 760     $ 774     $ 670     $ 624     $ 651     $ 524     $ 345     $ 319     $ 355     $ 459     $ 23,711       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

74% are NAIC 1, 9% NAIC 2, 3% NAIC 3, 8% NAIC 4, 6% NAIC 5.

(c)

Primarily relates to securities held by non-insurance companies.

 

Page 36


Appendix F

American Financial Group, Inc.

Asset-Backed Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Collateral Type

9/30/2020

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    Fair Value By Collateral Type  

Credit Rating (a)

  Secured
Financing
(c)
    TruPS     Whole
Business
    Railcar     Commercial
Real Estate
    Single Family
Rental
    Aircraft     Mortgage
Servicer
Receivables
    Consumer
Loans
    Life Ins/
Structured
Settlements
    Other     Total     %
Total
 

Investment Grade

                         

AAA

  $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 870     $ 467     $ —       $ 74     $ 61     $ 159     $ 351     $ 1,982       27

AA

    301       1,036       148       —         33       119       —         —         92       —         201       1,930       26

A

    78       348       22       597       —         11       192       —         30       1       332       1,611       22

BBB

    10       43       577       12       —         —         132       114       —         2       64       954       13
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    389       1,427       747       609       903       597       324       188       183       162       948       6,477       88
 

BB

    —         1       —         —         —         —         5       —         —         5       —         11       0

B

    —         —         —         —         —         —         24       —         —         —         4       28       0

CCC, CC, C

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         3       —         3       0

D

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    —         1       —         —         —         —         29       —         —         8       4       42       0
 

Not Rated (b)

    891       —         —         —         —         —         9       —         —         —         —         900       12
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

Total

  $ 1,280     $ 1,428     $ 747     $ 609     $ 903     $ 597     $ 362     $ 188     $ 183     $ 170     $ 952     $ 7,419       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

    Fair Value By Collateral Type  

NAIC designation

  Secured
Financing
(c)
    TruPS     Whole
Business
    Railcar     Commercial
Real Estate
    Single Family
Rental
    Aircraft     Mortgage
Servicer
Receivables
    Consumer
Loans
    Life Ins/
Structured
Settlements
    Other     Total     %
Total
 

1

  $ 1,270     $ 1,384     $ 170     $ 597     $ 903     $ 597     $ 191     $ 121     $ 183     $ 160     $ 884     $ 6,460       87

2

    10       43       577       12       —         —         125       67       —         2       65       901       12
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    1,280       1,427       747       609       903       597       316       188       183       162       949       7,361       99
 

3

    —         1       —         —         —         —         12       —         —         5       —         18       0

4

    —         —         —         —         —         —         25       —         —         —         3       28       1

5

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         3       —         3       0

6

    —         —         —         —         —         —         5       —         —         —         —         5       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    —         1       —         —         —         —         42       —         —         8       3       54       1
 

No designation (d)

    —         —         —         —         —         —         4       —         —         —         —         4       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

Total

  $ 1,280     $ 1,428     $ 747     $ 609     $ 903     $ 597     $ 362     $ 188     $ 183     $ 170     $ 952     $ 7,419       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

99% of not rated securities are NAIC 1.

(c)

Secured Financings are privately placed funding agreements secured by assets including Single Family Rental properties, Bank Loans, Bank Trust Preferreds, Commercial and Residential Mortgages.

(d)

Primarily relates to securities held by non-insurance companies.

 

Page 37


Appendix G

American Financial Group, Inc.

Asset-Backed Securities by Credit Rating & NAIC Designation by Collateral Type

12/31/2019

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    Fair Value By Collateral Type  

Credit Rating (a)

  Secured
Financing
(c)
    TruPS     Whole
Business
    Railcar     Commercial
Real Estate
    Single Family
Rental
    Aircraft     Mortgage
Servicer
Receivables
    Consumer
Loans
    Life Ins/
Structured
Settlements
    Other     Total     %
Total
 

Investment Grade

                         

AAA

  $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 460     $ 367     $ —       $ 167     $ 64     $ 157     $ 314     $ 1,529       22

AA

    311       990       92       —         52       106       —         34       110       —         84       1,779       25

A

    78       326       22       602       —         11       442       —         17       3       482       1,983       28

BBB

    10       53       599       —         —         —         —         38       —         1       41       742       10
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    399       1,369       713       602       512       484       442       239       191       161       921       6,033       85
 

BB

    —         1       —         —         —         —         7       —         —         5       —         13       0

B

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         4       4       0

CCC, CC, C

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         3       1       4       0

D

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    —         1       —         —         —         —         7       —         —         8       5       21       0
 

Not Rated (b)

    1,060       —         —         —         —         —         14       —         —         —         —         1,074       15
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

Total

  $ 1,459     $ 1,370     $ 713     $ 602     $ 512     $ 484     $ 463     $ 239     $ 191     $ 169     $ 926     $ 7,128       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

    Fair Value By Collateral Type  

NAIC designation

  Secured
Financing
(c)
    TruPS     Whole
Business
    Railcar     Commercial
Real Estate
    Single Family
Rental
    Aircraft     Mortgage
Servicer
Receivables
    Consumer
Loans
    Life Ins/
Structured
Settlements
    Other     Total     %
Total
 

1

  $ 1,421     $ 1,314     $ 114     $ 601     $ 511     $ 482     $ 442     $ 201     $ 189     $ 159     $ 874     $ 6,308       89

2

    38       53       599       —         —         —         —         38       —         2       40       770       11
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    1,459       1,367       713       601       511       482       442       239       189       161       914       7,078       100
 

3

    —         1       —         —         —         —         7       —         —         5       —         13       0

4

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         4       4       0

5

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         3       1       4       0

6

    —         —         —         —         —         —         14       —         —         —         1       15       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal

    —         1       —         —         —         —         21       —         —         8       6       36       0
 

No designation (d)

    —         2       —         1       1       2       —         —         2       —         6       14       0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

Total

  $ 1,459     $ 1,370     $ 713     $ 602     $ 512     $ 484     $ 463     $ 239     $ 191     $ 169     $ 926     $ 7,128       100 % 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

99% of not rated securities are NAIC 1 or 2.

(c)

Secured Financings are privately placed funding agreements secured by assets including Single Family Rental properties, Bank Loans, Bank Trust Preferreds, Commercial and Residential Mortgages.

(d)

Primarily relates to securities held by non-insurance companies.

 

Page 38


Appendix H

American Financial Group, Inc.

Real Estate-Related Investments

9/30/2020

($ in millions)

   LOGO

Investments accounted for using equity method (Real Estate Funds/Investments) (a)

 

Investment Type

   Book Value      % of
Book Value
    Occupancy
(b)
    Collection Rate (c)  

Multi-family

   $ 760        80     96     98

Fund Investments

     96        10     —         —    

Student Housing

     28        3     77     94

Land - Development

     20        2     —         —    

QOZ Fund - Development

     16        2     —         —    

Office

     15        2     88     100

Hospitality

     12        1     —         —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

Total

   $ 947        100    
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

Real Estate

 

Property Type

   Book Value      % of
Book Value
    Debt  

Marinas

   $ 62        38   $ —    

Resort & Marina

     56        34     —    

Hotel

     23        14     —    

Office Building

     18        11     —    

Land

     5        3     —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 164        100   $ —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Mortgage Loans

 

Property Type

   Book Value      % of
Book Value
    Loan To
Value (d)
 

Hospitality

     616        42     55

Multifamily

     547        37     64

Office

     250        17     64

Retail

     46        3     50

Other

     22        1     58
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,481        100     60
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Currently, mortgage loans totaling $124 million are under forbearance agreements.

 

(a)

Total investments accounted for using the equity method is $1.84 billion, the amounts presented in this table only relate to real estate funds/investments.

(b)

Occupancy as of 9/30/20

(c)

Collections for July - September

(d)

Based on most recent property appraisals, the vast majority of which are prior to March 2020.

 

Page 39


Appendix I

American Financial Group, Inc.

Real Estate-Related Investments

12/31/2019

($ in millions)

   LOGO

Investments accounted for using equity method (Real Estate Funds/Investments) (a)

 

Investment Type

   Book Value      % of
Book Value
    Occupancy (b)     Collection Rate (c)  

Multi-family

   $ 589        77     96     99

Fund Investments

     100        13    

Student Housing

     30        4     94     98

Land - Development

     20        2    

QOZ Fund - Development

     16        2    

Office

     14        2     90     100
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

Total

   $ 769        100    
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

Real Estate

 

Property Type

   Book Value      % of
Book Value
    Debt  

Marinas

   $ 63        37   $ —    

Resort & Marina

     59        35     —    

Hotel

     22        13     —    

Office Building

     20        12     —    

Land

     5        3     —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 169        100   $ —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Mortgage Loans

 

Property Type

   Book Value      % of
Book Value
    Loan To
Value
 

Hospitality

     575        43     56

Multifamily

     392        30     62

Office

     253        19     65

Retail

     61        4     59

Other

     48        4     50
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,329        100     59
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Total investments accounted for using the equity method is $1.69 billion, the amounts presented in this table only relate to real estate funds/investments.

(b)

Occupancy as of 12/31/19

(c)

Collections for October - December

 

Page 40